- How did Iran build a sophisticated missile force?
- Planning
- Israel attacks & Iran retaliates
- Mossad & terrorism
- Iran victorious
- Revolution is not a dinner party
- Iran is not alone
- War-between wars
- Iran expels the IAEA
- Zionists flee Israel
Tehran’s continued retaliations against the Israeli entity had put severe strain on “Israel’s” deterrence capabilities, particularly as interceptor numbers dwindled and Iran scored increasing, strategic hits as the days went by, targeting Israeli military facilities and economic infrastructure. Iran’s 22 waves of ballistic missile and drone attacks against Israel targeted and directly struck several highly sensitive Israeli military sites, as well as technological and energy infrastructure . As a result of unprecedented media censorship imposed by Israel’s military, foreign journalists have been banned from covering the damage inflicted on sensitive targets, and satellite images have been restricted. The report lists over a dozen high-profile Israeli targets, some previously confirmed to have been damaged, which were hit in a “meticulously calculated” series of attacks over 12 days. The targets included Israel’s Kirya (Defense Ministry headquarters, referred to as the Israeli Pentagon), Camp Moshe Dayan (training and operations center for military intelligence), the highly fortified Tel Nof Air Base, Ovda Air Base, and the Israeli Ministry of Interior building, among several others. The report also lists Bazan Oil Refinery, Haifa Power Station, Hadera Power Station, Ashdod Power Plant, Aman (Unit 8200) base, Weizmann Institute of Science, and Ben Gurion Airport. The vicinity of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s family villa in Caesarea, which was struck by a Hezbollah drone in 2024, was also hit by Iran. Israel’s largest oil refinery, the Haifa-based complex, was forced shut days later due to a direct missile hit on the facility. Three employees of the company were killed, and significant damage was inflicted. Oil pipelines and transmission lines in Haifa were also damaged by Iranian strikes, resulting in the temporary shutdown of some downstream operations. Additionally, the complex of Israel’s near Glilot in Tel Aviv was directly hit by missiles. Online users geolocated the impact sites in the Glilot area using satellite imagery and visual markers from footage taken shortly after the strikes. The coordinates indicated that multiple missiles landed in close proximity to the suspected Mossad facilities, but not directly on them. The Iranian attack on the Weizmann Institute of Science caused around $570 million in with video footage confirming the massive amount of damage to the site. The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange building was also damaged during the 12-day war. Iran’s final strike before the ceasefire took effect included 14 ballistic missiles and targeted several other key military and logistical sites.
“This final wave delivered a historic and unforgettable lesson to the Zionist enemy. It was the Iranian armed forces who imposed their will – and their timing – on the battlefield,” the IRGC said on Tuesday morning. The IRGC said in a statement that the latest missile strike “disrupted the enemy’s multilayered defense systems by employing new methods. Iranian media said that more hypersonic ballistic missiles were used. Iran has one known hypersonic ballistic missile in service, the Fattah-1. The missile can travel at 15 times the speed of sound and has a range of up to 1,400 kilometers. Amid the Iranian strike, the Houthis in Yemen targeted Israel with a single ballistic missile. Iranian strikes, part of a retaliatory operation codenamed True Promise 3, are clearly becoming more effective. Israel likely planned for its attack on Iran’s nuclear program, codenamed Operation Rising Lion, to be a quick one, but quickly realized its blunder. Overall, the financial damage to Israel amounts to between $50-100 billion. Furthermore, it will take many months for Israel to bring back its economy to normal-if ever. Food imports through Haifa amounted to 75 % of Israel’s consumption. Fuel prices are rising. Haifa port is out of action.
Military Censorship during War
Israeli media have reported on some strikes across the country that has resulted in varying levels of damage and casualties. However, due to military censorship enforced during wartime, reports on attacks involving sensitive or strategic targets are often restricted or withheld from the public. Due to this, other strategic sites destroyed are not even being mentioned. Those who are humiliated and disgraced have reasons to hide their losses- and so it is with both Israel and the US.
Effectiveness of Power Projection
Due to Iran’s air-defense system, Israeli jets avoided venturing into Iran’s air space for fear of getting shot down. They fired off their missiles from Iraqi air space. Due to the long distance these Israeli jets had to fly-, even after several mid-air refueling, the missiles fired into Iran lacked a powerful payload. As a result, these missiles were not able to do much damage. The nuclear sites bombed by Israel turned out to be ineffective. Israel bombed 1 Iranian airport, but Iran still has 28 other functioning airports. While Israel has only ONE! And, this was badly hit by Iran. The Houthis have also not stopped hitting Ben Gurion with hypersonic missiles. This is but one example. Israel has 3 ports, of which Eilat is bankrupt, while Ashdod and Haifa are out of use for months. Another key factor is geography and demographics. Iran is 75 times the size of Israel. Israel has a Zionist population of 5 million as compared to Iran’s population of 92 million. Iran is three times the size of Ukraine. Nearly 40 months of fighting Ukraine, Russia has still not defeated Ukraine.
Now, if it is taking Russia more than 3 years to weaken Ukraine and bring it to its knees, how long would it take Israel (and the US) to bring Iran to its knees? Much less damage its economy and infrastructure. In that time, Iran will retaliate against Israel. Israel is a very, very small country geographically. As we have seen, 12 days of attacks on Israel, using nearly 600 missiles and 1,000 drones, has caused tremendous damage to Israel’s most important and strategic sites- both for its economy and military. Had this was gone on for another 2 weeks, Israel would be facing complete defeat, and would have possibly used its nuclear option to stave off this humiliation. Shortly after, the IRGC declared, “We are witnessing the beginning of the end of the Zionist army’s air defense system. “The statement emphasized that the latest missile strike “proved beyond any doubt that the skies over the occupied territories are now fully under our control. “The IRGC concluded by stressing that the residents of Tel Aviv “are now defenseless in the face of Iran’s missile capabilities.”
Israeli missile defense at risk of collapse in coming days: “Israel’s” missile defense could fail within days under sustained Iranian attacks, as costs skyrocket and interceptor supplies dwindle. A long war of attrition between “Israel” and Iran may not be sustainable for Tel Aviv, as mounting costs and dwindling interceptor supplies as critical vulnerabilities in “Israel’s” air defense network- without urgent resupply or direct US military intervention, “Israel” may only be able to sustain its current level of missile defense for another 10 to 12 days, had the war not stopped. Remember, in early May, the US diverted 20,000 missile interceptors bund for Ukraine, to Israel- in preparation for defending itself against the expected Iran missile rain. “They will need to select what they want to intercept,” one source briefed on the matter said. “The system is already overwhelmed.” That projection, based on interceptor usage rates and known inventories, suggested that daily missile penetrations would increase significantly as the Israeli grid begins to ration munitions and prioritize critical zones. The economic strain of defending against Iran’s heavy missile barrages is also becoming untenable. The cost of operating missile defense systems has soared to approximately $285 million per night. Israel’s reliance on high-end systems like the Arrow-2 and Arrow-3, whose interceptors cost roughly $3 million apiece, has raised alarms over the sustainability of its current escalation.
Now comes the shocking part. A senior Iranian military official noted that Iran has deployed less than 30% of its actual capabilities and under 5% of its latent capacity. The Iranian official reveals that his country will soon unveil new missile capabilities, highlighting that the attack demonstrated only a limited portion of Iran’s military strength. Hezbollah has between 100-200 k rockets, missiles and drones of all kinds. Iran has an estimated 10-15 times that number. In this conflict, Iran used up a total of 1,600 missiles and drones. It can sustain this rate of fire for years. While, Israel and NATO are fast getting de-militarized! Meanwhile, Iran has smartly employed the use of decoys in bluffing and redirecting “Israel’s” attacks, such as missile launchers that are likely fake, with military analysts pointing out the lack of secondary explosions upon impact. This mirrors a strategy used by Hezbollah to, like Iran, hide and move critical equipment to hidden points in the mountains while leaving decoys exposed. Iran is not a besieged enclave; its land, sea, and air borders are not controlled by the entity. Unlike Lebanon or Iraq, it retains full territorial and decision-making sovereignty.
4 The Mossad & Its Favorite Hobby – Creates Havoc inside Iran with Sabotage & Terror Operations
Israel’s deadly infiltration of Iran’s internal geography – capped by coordinated assassinations and drone strikes – has triggered a sweeping internal crackdown as Tehran races to reclaim control. In the early hours of 13 June, Israel launched a ferocious aerial assault across Iran, killing a dozen senior commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), at least six nuclear scientists, and striking the key nuclear facilities of Natanz and Khondab. Multiple Iranian military installations were also hit over a 12-hour period. By the way, as another nail in Israel’s phony ‘shadow war’, Iranian general of the Quds force Ismail Qaani, who was said to have been “killed” by Israeli strikes, miraculously reappeared in the victory celebrations in Tehran. Unable to sustain large-scale aerial assaults, Israel shifted tactics. Standoff missile strikes from Iraqi airspace waned. Instead, the Mossad launched FPV drone attacks, car bombings, and anti-tank guided missile strikes. Five car bombs exploded in Tehran on 15 June alone. Civilian sites – hospitals, dormitories, and residential buildings – were hit. These are not military operations. They are acts of terror. Crumbling illusions.
The most alarming aspect was what initially seemed like a complete failure of Iran’s air defense systems to intercept Israeli jets and missiles. This was due to a large‑scale cyber-attack which incapacitated Iran’s air defense. In addition, Israeli spies and agents had clandestinely smuggled small armed drones and explosive charges into Iran, placing them near radars and missile batteries to disable air defense systems from within. Iranian authorities have yet to provide a full explanation. Defense systems reportedly began intercepting projectiles only half a day later. After two days of uninterrupted strikes using drones – and projectiles fired from fighter jets outside Iran – the Israeli army released a video showing alleged Iranian collaborators setting up launchers. The footage immediately raised alarm bells about the presence of Mossad agents and mercenaries operating within Iran’s borders. Israeli regime using FPVs and all means of sabotage to create a state of fear in Tehran. Several assassination attempts were reported in Tehran. Israeli Mossad agents reportedly attacked a refueling plane in Mashhad airport.
The method of attack pointed to a grim realization: Much of Israel’s firepower and drones were launched from within Iranian territory by local collaborators and agents – very similar to events witnessed just two weeks ago inside Russia’s borders when Ukraine, reportedly backed by launched drone attacks on Russian airbases. The Israeli playbook appeared to be a replica of the Ukrainian one, and its perpetrators likely the same intelligence agencies. Iranian authorities discovered that the suicide drones and quad copters used in the assassinations of high-profile figures – from military commanders to nuclear scientists – were small but deadly, and often launched using shoulder-fired or ground-based systems.
Iran cracks down on Mossad Assets throughout the Country
Security services began receiving tips about suspicious pickups and cargo trucks spotted near targeted areas. One taken by a civilian and broadcast on social media, showed a missile being launched from the ground in a residential area. This convinced Iranian intelligence that professional Mossad operatives and well-organized local sleeper cells were conducting attacks from within. In response, the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence a public call urging citizens to be vigilant and report suspicious individuals, homes, mini-trucks, and pickups, confirming for the first time that “vehicles are being used to launch drones and guide missiles.” The ministry’s statement triggered widespread public mobilization. Volunteer groups erected checkpoints, inspecting mini-trucks and pickups. Intelligence and police officials reported a surge in civilian tips, which led to several significant discoveries. With drone operations exposed and thwarted, Israeli agents reverted to their tried-and-tested tactic of car bombings – long a hallmark of Tel Aviv’s covert assassinations across the region. In this dragnet conducted across Iran, many more spies are being caught; some have been executed by the government. Plus, many warehouses have been found, and thousands of drones and spy equipment has been discovered. The manhunt is ongoing.
Israel’s Mossad has long cultivated sleeper cells inside Iran for missions involving sabotage, targeted killings, espionage, and terror. The 2020 assassination of senior nuclear scientist – executed with the help of a remote-controlled weapon and insider intelligence – marked one of the earliest and most devastating examples of this deep infiltration. One of the most humiliating episodes was the assassination of in July 2024 of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, who was visiting Tehran at the invitation of the Iranian government to attend its presidential inauguration, was killed by a precision-guided missile that struck his room in a state guesthouse. The brazenness of the strike – and its execution inside the heart of the Islamic Republic – sent shockwaves through regional resistance movements.
Covert tactics of sneaking bombs into vehicles – Operation Spider web style – are moves of treachery, weakness, and cowardice, not skill or prowess. The vast majority of “Israel’s” operations against Iran occurred via internal sabotage and treachery, which is giving the leadership a chance to weed out agents, uncover Mossad-operated drone workshops, and identify spy networks. Since Iran’s operations to detain and eliminate Mossad-linked agents and makeshift drone-producing mini-labs has picked up, Iran’s air defenses have worked much more quickly and effectively, and interceptions have been much more successful. Mossad agents stationed themselves near air defense and missile sites, disabling Iran’s aerial response as the Israeli assault began. Iranian officials have publicly named the MEK as the prime suspect in aiding Mossad, citing their long-standing record of treachery against the Iranian nation, both during the 1979 Islamic Revolution in which MEK launched assassinations against Iran’s new officials, and during the eight-year Iran–Iraq war in which they openly aided the enemy against Iranian soldiers.
Tehran now fully acknowledges the scale of infiltration. Mossad operatives and their Iranian collaborators had conducted reconnaissance, assembled drones, executed assassinations, and aided Israeli targeting. This wake-up call comes at a steep cost. In the face of a coordinated war by Israel, Iran can no longer afford blind spots in its security apparatus. The next phase demands an overhaul of intelligence protocols and the immediate and meticulous dismantling of Mossad’s local networks. The collaborators within must now face the consequences.
5 Iran Victorious as Ceasefire with ‘Israel’ take Effect
Iran emerges victorious following the Israeli aggression on its territory, forcing “Israel” and the United States to scramble for a ceasefire, namely after its strike yesterday on the US base in Qatar. After 12 days of aggression, Iran has emerged victorious from “Israel’s” war after the ceasefire between Tehran and the Israeli occupation came into effect at 7:00 AM (local time).
Revolution Is Not a Dinner Party
Of course people are hardly surprised that Israel would commit such an act of blatant aggression against another country since the Jewish state has proven, time and again, it is a terrorist rogue regime capable of open genocide, ethnic cleansing, and total disregard of the most basic human moralities, with the enablement and public support by the US regime, its master-slave hybrid partner in crimes. What is surprising is how poorly Iran was prepared, almost literally caught with its pants down. Its top military and nuclear leadership were decapitated, it’s nuclear and missile facilities damaged, its air defense barely working, and its internal security violently penetrated by Mossad and its agents. Although Iran has launched intense retaliatory strikes against Israel, there is no doubt that Iranian deterrence and credibility has taken a hard punch, potentially irreparably. Its vulnerability exposed to all. The biggest reason for such a humiliating blow is Iran’s own inept nuclear strategy. Rather than pursuing a committed nuclear deterrent for national security and sovereignty like North Korea, Iran has attempted to use the nuclear issue as a negotiation chip to get concessions from western sanctions. It has hovered around the nuclear threshold for years without clearing it, eventually turning the matter into an excuse for war rather than deterrence against war. In essence, Israel and the US called Iran’s bluff. The attack also exposed Iran’s naïve trust of the duplicitous US regime. As New York Times gleefully reported, Iranian officials were led to believe any Israeli attack would come only after the sixth-round negotiation with the US regime scheduled for June 15. The negotiation was a bad-faith ploy to disarm Iranian alertness. Iran stepped right into the trap.
Iran’s regional allies have been systematically weakened by Israel and the US for the past year. Hezbollah weakened, Syria decimated, the Iraqi militia never did much, and the brave Houthis was not a big enough player to inflict more than superficial damage. The attack also exposed many fault lines in the Iranian military and society: Lack of discipline. The top military brass disobeyed orders to stay sheltered. In the face of numerous successful Israeli assassinations and decapitation strikes (possibly even including the suspicious helicopter accident that killed Raisi, the last Iranian president), the Iranian top military generals and nuclear scientists were not properly protected and still resided in their regular residences where they were killed in precision strikes. A deeply penetrated security system. No one can doubt that Iranian national security apparatus is badly infiltrated by traitors and snitches from within. The issue has not been addressed despite repeated evidence of security loopholes, including the assassination of Hamas leader Haniyeh in Tehran in 2024. Division between the nationalistic hardliners and the western proxies (aka. the liberals). The foot-dragging on the nuclear issue and the inconsistent support to members of Axis of Resistance reflect a deep divide within Iran among the various interest groups who have sharply divergent political objectives.
On a higher level, the Iranian society suffers serious long-term internal contradictions that weakens its position against its enemies. Finally, the events of the past one and half years have shown us Islamic unity is a delusion and non-existent. The Gulf state Muslim countries are as prone as ever to western divide and rule. No one has come to Iran’s aid and no one will. In contrast to Iranian indecisiveness, Israel exhibited cold-blooded ruthlessness when it comes to its own nuclear weapon program.
For those who don’t know, the Mossad’s official motto is “By way of deception thou shalt do war”, a direct quote from the Talmudic Book of Proverbs. The Mossad sister organization CIA has a much less honest and more hypocritical motto: “And ye shall know the truth and the truth shall make you free”, a quote from the Bible, John 8:32. When state-sanctioned criminal organizations like Mossad and CIA start to quote the “holy book”, you should know to watch out because they are about to commit the most unholy acts. As Mike Pampeo said candidly about CIA, “we lied, we cheated, we stole…We have entire training courses…”. Strangely enough, the Mossad motto is a “copy-paste” from the devil’s own promise for mankind- “by way of deception shall I mislead man away from the truth”.
Another contrast with the Iranian indecisiveness is North Korea’s relentless determination to acquire the nuclear deterrent, even despite strong opposition from China and Russia, both of which approved UN sanctions against North Korea for its nuclear program. When you compare the national strengths of Iran and North Korea with their respective archenemies, you get a sense of the gap in commitment shown by Iran compared with the two generations of Kims in North Korea: North Korea vs. South Korea – population 26 million vs. 52 million, GDP $23 billion vs. $1.7 trillion. Iran vs. Israel – population 91 million vs. 9.7 million, GDP $405 billion vs. $514 billion.
History has shown us that trying to negotiate with the devil is a fool’s errand and a sure path to ruin – look at what happened to Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gadhafi who gave up their nuclear plans to placate the west just to be wiped out without mercy. There is a centuries-old Chinese proverb: those who negotiate with the tiger for its skin will be eaten by the tiger. Iran’s misplaced trust in the good faith of the US regime has exerted a terrible price, especially considering the well-documented US treacheries such as “not an inch east” promise to Russia and “one China policy” commitment to China. The US regime is simply never a good faith actor. Iran just became the latest victim of its betrayal.
While one has to be sympathetic to Iran’s woes, in the brutal western-led “rule-based international order”, the weaker party needs to be wiser – unfortunately, Iran has proven both weak and unwise.
When Empire Falters, Resistance Solidifies
As the US and “Israel” escalate aggression against Iran, the confrontation reveals not just a military gamble but a desperate imperial bid to preserve collapsing hegemony, met by Iran’s enduring resistance, a resistance now emblematic of the Global South’s wider struggle against capitalist plunder, settler colonial violence, and a dying empire’s last war. Its hegemony which underlies the collateral of the dollar is shrinking while its debts underwritten by the same dwindling hegemony are soaring. Where once the empire could borrow indefinitely because it controlled the future work and resources of the world, now it cannot. Contrary to Western narratives that cast Iran as an isolated state, much of the Global South understands it as a node in a broader resistance front, and alongside the resistance in Gaza and Yemen, it has, for decades, defied the economic and military dictates of the US-led West. The global imperial system is not merely military; it is also ideological. It is fundamentally about controlling the processes of wealth extraction through a synergy between military force and ideological domination, a synergy in which peoples are first bludgeoned into obeisance in order to be force-fed the ideological doctrine of capital, or for societies to accept the gibberish of capitalism piecemeal as a condition of adaptation to the terms of defeat. States like Iran with their mixed economies and national capitalism, resist the sham of neoliberalism, which usurps the social product of developing nations. States like Iran that maintain resource sovereignty challenge the outflow of resources at low or negative prices to the West. In formulaic terms, to profit is to exploit, to exploit is to oppress, and to oppress is to wage war, govern by imperialist comprador and or impose austerity upon the developing world, a condition that devolves into lower quality and shorter lives in the South.
Empire Can Win Wars, But Not the Masses
The United States and its “forward operating base, masquerading as a country – Israel,” have long depended on the projection of overwhelming force to discipline non-compliant states. Yet history has proven that wars fought against nations with revolutionary legacies, resilient infrastructures, and mass ideological mobilization rarely achieve their intended goals. The US has brought several sovereign governments to their knees, but has never truly established authority over their masses despite regime change. These nations are powder kegs, brewing with anger and poised to re-emerge as staunch anti-imperialist strongholds. They will find a ray of hope in the resistance of Iran, an already hardened opponent. On a strategic scale, no matter what the outcome of the aggression, the masses will rise, and the failure of imperialism is preordained by history. From a global perspective, recent moves by the US, including the attack by “Israel,” are designed to sabotage the momentum of multi-polarity. In reality, such maneuvers pursue the legitimation of a global US empire – the same political forces that have desolated the planet for profits- the 2 families and their associated networks. On a more concrete plane, the backroom deals include debt relief packages and other geopolitical bribes to countries like Turkey and Egypt, nations that need not be invaded to surrender. All they need is for the additional loans that service their outstanding debts be delayed for a few weeks. These are also intended to boost the repressive institutions of Arab regimes to suppress peoples’ commitment to Palestine, a commitment nonetheless that has more to do with the Arab masses’ own plight for better living standards, since the struggle for Palestine is a struggle for bread and dignity at home as well. It is a struggle against the same international financial class, the same dollar-based power fabric. Yet even within this US pressure, fractures within the regional circle of capitalists are appearing. One can see signs appearing all over the place of an increased level of tension and rivalry between the 2 families, and their respective bases- the US (Rockefeller) vs. Europe (Rothschild).
7 Iran Is Not Alone
Yet, the word on the regional street tells a different story. From Cairo to Sana’a, from Amman to Manama, ordinary people continue to reject the imperial project in all its forms. They rally for Gaza, they speak for the resistance, and they see Iran not as a sectarian threat but as a defiant symbol of anti-colonial struggle. The imperial order may still govern states, but it no longer governs the spirit of the masses. And, Iran, unlike many of its neighbors, has not only survived the imperialist onslaught, but it has also emerged as a fortress against imperial control. It has built a resilient military infrastructure, preserved national industries, and forged strategic ties with China, and the BRICS+ framework. It is not isolated; it is embedded in a rising multipolar order. And that order is now under siege as Iran is being attacked. They will not stand still, and the potentialities of their reaction to the aggression are a Pandora’s Box waiting to open. One thing is clear, however: Iran survived the first strike, and it is delivering blow after blow at the enemy. The aerial bombardment will not dislodge its government, and the war augurs the precipitous demise of a sick empire. Across the Global South, sympathy lies with Tehran. As Australian journalist Caitlin Johnstone “Imagine being so evil and reviled that people love watching you get hit.”
For Arab states, an enduring Iran is far better than a victorious Israel
With a US-brokered ceasefire temporarily halting direct hostilities between Tel Aviv and Tehran, the Persian Gulf states are confronting a new strategic equation: A humbled Iran is dangerous, but a triumphant Israel is worse. For Arab states of the Persian Gulf – especially those allied with Washington – the sudden halt exposed a harsh reality: If Tel Aviv emerges from this confrontation dominant, the Arab world loses its last meaningful leverage. A decisive Israeli victory over Iran and its allies in Gaza, Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen would eliminate the last deterrents to Tel Aviv’s openly-touted, regional territorial expansion into Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine – even Jordan and Iraq. The – long a strategic pressure card for Arab governments – would be dismantled overnight. And Gulf rulers, once shielded by regional rivalries, would find themselves beholden to an emboldened occupation state. If Iran could be weakened, they believed, and Syria, now governed by a western-installed administration with Tel Aviv would be free to redraw borders, entrench settlements, and pursue mass displacement with minimal resistance. Even the threat of regional backlash had diminished in the minds of Israel’s right-wing government officials. The defeat or marginalization of the Axis of Resistance would remove the last meaningful brake on Israeli ambitions – enabling Tel Aviv to recast the political geography of the region from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean in line with maximalist Zionist goals of a ‘Greater Israel.’
If Israel had emerged as the clear victor, it would willfully seek to overturn the strategic balance that has defined borders and power centers in the region for decades. Arab states that once unknowingly relied on Iran’s deterrent umbrella to curb Israel’s vast regional designs would be stripped of their last buffer if Iran were to fall now. Tel Aviv would wield unchecked influence, not just over Palestine, but over its Arab neighbors, through economic coercion, political dictates, and a re-engineered regional security order centered on its own dominance.
Why Arab States need Iran to Endure
Almost overnight, Iran’s Persian Gulf and Arab “frenemies” came to the stark realization that their decades-long desire to have Iranian power neutralized must be recalculated. They had thrived off the security umbrella that Tehran had provided, and without it, could become pawns in Israel’s hegemonic agenda. For decades, a delicate balance of power defined the region. Neither Iran nor Israel could fully dominate because both faced serious costs to aggression. Iran’s network of allies – from Hezbollah to Gaza to Yemen – served as a counterweight to US-Israeli designs. This balance gave Persian Gulf Arab states space to maneuver, even as they opposed Tehran rhetorically. Even more critically, Gulf States would what little sovereignty they have if Iran is neutralized, Washington no longer needs the Saudis, Emiratis, or Qataris to contain Tehran. Their utility as strategic partners erodes. What replaces it is a new US-Israel power axis where Persian Gulf states are merely clients, not partners. Their influence in Washington would plummet, as would their ability to extract security guarantees, arms deals, or diplomatic support. The 7 October 2023 has reshaped the region’s political geometry. Arab states of the Persian Gulf, long tethered to US protection, are now hedging: normalizing with Tel Aviv, extending olive branches to Tehran, and pleading for strategic restraint from Washington. But these contradictory moves – appeasing Israel, placating the Islamic Republic, and relying on the US – are colliding with a regional reality that no longer tolerates fence-sitting. What emerges is a West Asian policy built on three pillars: reconciliation with Iran, conditional normalization with the occupation state, and continued reliance on the US security umbrella. Whether this fragile strategy can hold in the face of a widening war remains to be seen. But if the flames spread, the Gulf’s veneer of stability will be among the first to burn.
8 Israel’s War on Iran Is Over, now it’s ‘War between Wars’ Starts
Announcing the start of what appears to be a new military campaign, Defense Minister Israel Katz said on June 27 that he had instructed the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) to “prepare an enforcement plan against Iran that includes maintaining Israel’s air superiority, preventing nuclear advancement and missile production, and responding to Iran for supporting terror activity against Israel.” The Israeli term war-between-the-war refers to an inter-war campaign done through the IDF and the Israeli intelligence service to prevent the country’s enemies from developing capabilities that will enable them to violate Israel’s balance of deterrence through detecting and selectively destroying emerging threats to the country’s security. Israel followed a similar policy towards Syria, targeting the country’s military capabilities overtly and covertly for over a decade until the regime there collapsed. It has been also carrying out a similar campaign against Hezbollah since a ceasefire with Lebanon brokered by the U.S. came into effect late last year.
The situation with Iran is, however, much different. While Syria refrained from responding due to its ongoing civil war at the time, and Hezbollah is doing the same due to pressure from the Lebanese government, Iran has demonstrated that it has both the ability and will to strike back. Nevertheless, determination alone will not be enough to foil Israel’s plans. Even retaliatory strikes won’t cut it. If Iran wants to survive the upcoming Israeli campaign it will have to develop its defensive capabilities, even before working on enhancing its offensive means. Without closing its airspace and implementing security reforms, Iran could eventually find itself with nothing to strike back with. Katz’s remarks are very clear. Iran should prepare to face assassinations, acts of sabotage and even strikes in coming months. One under-appreciated aspect of the Israeli-Iranian conflict was how it has galvanized the hardliners in Iran, with some believing that it effectively centralized power around the military hawk faction, rather than fomenting discord and disarray as the West had hoped.
We saw that during the conflict, Ayatollah Khamenei delegated war decisions to an IRGC shura council, allowing them to make all necessary military responses without his immediate oversight. the Israeli—and previous American—strikes actually helped wipe out the ‘moderates’ and install a far hardier class of military commanders: As the IRGC gains control its elite is being transformed at speed by Israel’s assassinations. Gone are the veteran commanders who for years pursued “strategic patience”, limiting their fire when their totemic leader, Qassem Soleimani, was assassinated in 2020, and holding it when Israel battered their proxies, Hamas and Hezbollah, in 2024. Now a new generation, impatient and more dogmatic, has taken their place and is bent on redeeming national pride. “The maximalist position has been strengthened,” says an academic close to the reformist camp. He claims the decision-makers in place before the war were debating whether to ditch their anti-Israel stance. But “everyone is now a hardliner”. They even declare that for the first time since the 1979 revolution, the military has gained supremacy over the ‘clerics’, which could explain why Khamenei had notably gone ‘absent’ during the latter half of the brief war. What’s more is that Iran’s elites appear to be ‘coalescing’, whereas a year ago there was great infighting and disagreement on the direction of the country vis-a-vis international pressures; now the ‘moderate’ faction is silenced in favor of the bold patriots. This is similar to the natural selection process which took place in the Russian elite circles around the time of the SMO. This was most obviously seen when the Majlis declared its unanimity in closing the Strait of Hormuz, which we’ll get to in a minute. Most eye-opening was that Israel’s strikes on civilian targets had actually served to unite Iranian society.
Early admiration for Israel’s military prowess has turned to outrage as its targets have widened and the death toll has mounted. Scorn for the IRGC’s haplessness has turned to pride at the speed with which it has reconstituted. Iranians who fled the capital are coming back. Those who once championed Israel are now handing over suspected Israeli agents to the police. Female political prisoners, the mothers of executed protesters and exiled Iranian pop stars have all issued calls to rally to Iran’s defense. “It’s backfired on Bibi,” says a former official turned dissident. Now it has come to light that the possible real reason for why the US decided to pull the plug on mission Iran so fast was because after the affirming parliamentary vote, Iran did in fact begin loading up ships with naval mines to close the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. was seriously concerned about a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Following Israel’s first missile strike on June 13, Iran reportedly loaded naval mines onto vessels in the Persian Gulf. Iran has likewise continued to stay defiant against the criminal IAEA, suspending cooperation with them and banning director Rafael Grossi from its nuclear sites. It seems Iran is confident of the deterrence gained by the damage it served upon Israel with its strikes, and is not willing to bow or kneel to further pressure. All the talk about destroying Iran’s 60 % enriched uranium was in vain, as Iran moved it long before the strikes on its facilities. This included the removal of centrifuges to other sites. Finally, it must be pointed out that very little damage was done to Iran’s nuclear facilities.
This is a major reason for why Israel is in such dire straits—the next generations of Americans will no longer support Israel’s domination of the US Congress. Israel will have no choice but to come up with inventive new methods or false flags to keep Americans in line, because without the US’ support, Israel will cease to be as a nation in the Middle East. But Israeli hardliners know this, and it’s one of the reasons they have chosen to destroy or break up Iran now, before it’s too late.
9 IAEA is Expelled from Iran
The Mossad tried hard to gain control of the IAEA. The previous director, Amano, wasn’t a favorite of Israel. He passed away under “mysterious circumstances”. In no time, Israel put its man, Rossi, as the new head of IAEA. Using Rossi, the IAEA was able to gain plenty info on Iran’s nuclear program, identifying the important scientists, and so on. This info was passed onto the Mossad, which used this info to conduct its attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites and some of its scientists.The IAEA Board’s ‘Non-Compliance’ Resolution on 12 June 2025 was the planned precursor for Israel’s ‘bolt from the blue’ strike on Iran the next day. Israelis say the plan to go to war with Iran was grounded in ‘the opportunity’ to strike, and not the intelligence that Iran was speeding towards a bomb. The underpinnings to the 12 June 2025 IAEA Resolution – giving pretext for Israel to strike Iran (and crafted to sway President Trump to dismiss his own Director of National Intelligence’s warnings that there was no evidence of Iran moving towards weaponisation) – reportedly were drawn not from Mossad or other western intelligence services, but from IAEA software. As outlined, since 2015, the IAEA has relied on Palantir’s Mosaic platform, a $50-million AI system that sifts through millions of data points – satellite imagery, social media, personnel logs – to predict nuclear threats. Iran’s stockpile [of enriched uranium] had been growing steadily for months—yet the narrative of an imminent breakthrough surged only after the IAEA’s censure on June 6, 2025. That resolution, adopted 19–3, provided Israel the diplomatic cover it needed. Palantir’s Mosaic platform played a critical role in this pivot. Its data shaped the May 31 report, despite years-old Iranian denials and sabotage … Mosaic was conceived originally to identify insurgent activity in Iraq and Afghanistan. On 12 June, Iran leaked documents, which it claimed showed IAEA chief Rafael Grossi sharing Mosaic outputs with Israel. Mosaic however is not a passive system. It is trained to infer from its algorithm hostile intent, but when repurposed for nuclear oversight, its equations risk translating simple correlation into malicious intent.
The IAEA’s MOSAIC Weapon: Espionage Disguised as Oversight
The deal granted IAEA inspectors to Iran’s nuclear facilities to confirm the absence of a nuclear weapons program. In the process, the agency accumulated an immense trove of data: surveillance imagery, sensor measurements, and facility documents – all of which were fed into MOSAIC’s predictive system.
Yet the software’s pivotal role in the deal remained concealed until in May 2018, just US President Donald Trump, during his first term, unilaterally tore up the agreement and launched Washington’s so-called “maximum pressure” campaign against Tehran. Despite Trump tearing up the deal, inspections of Iranian nuclear facilities continued, as did MOSAIC’s monitoring of Tehran’s nuclear program. Palantir’s technology helped the IAEA scrutinize vast swaths of information from disparate sources, including 400 million “digital objects” globally, such as “social media feeds and satellite photographs inside Iran” – a capability that “raised concern the IAEA may overstep the boundary between nuclear monitoring and intelligence-gathering.” Data gained was used as a weapon. MOSAIC is now so entwined with the agency’s daily function that any country targeted for regime change could find itself accused of nuclear ambitions based on manufactured evidence.
Iran bars IAEA Chief Grossi over leak to Israeli Regime
Iran bans IAEA head Rafael Grossi over claims he leaked sensitive nuclear data to “Israel,” as Tehran warns of retaliation but keeps the door open for talks. A senior political advisor to the speaker of Iran’s parliament, stating: “Grossi has betrayed the agency’s trust by sharing sensitive data, including the names of our nuclear scientists, with the Zionist entity – Iran will not permit Grossi to set foot on its soil again – We will no longer give Grossi permission to be present at Iran’s nuclear facilities and install cameras there because we saw information about our facilities in documents received from … the Israeli regime.” The Islamic Republic further exposed profound cooperation between the IAEA and the Israeli occupation, which prompted Iran to obtain, through a major intelligence operation, a vast trove of highly tied to “Israel”. The remarks come just a day after the IAEA confirmed that its inspection team had left Iran and returned to its Vienna headquarters. Iranian officials not only suspended cooperation with the IAEA and ordered the dismantlement of inspection cameras, but also refused Grossi’s request to visit bombed nuclear sites. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi branded the IAEA chief’s insistence on visiting under the pretext of safeguards “meaningless and possibly even malign in intent.” What is clear is that any state still cooperating with the IAEA must now reckon with the possibility that it is not being monitored – it is being mapped for war.
10 Zionists flee Iranian strikes on ‘low-profile’ Yacht Trips to Cyprus
The settlers, in stark contrast to the Iranian people, are plunged into anxiety, panic and hopeless distress upon coming to the same realization as their government – that they no longer enjoy immunity, security, and prosperity, lounging on beaches or partying in night clubs, hedonistically living off the fruits of occupation, expropriation, and oppression. Official analyses even confirmed a 50% rise in “fear among the Zionists.” The Iranian people, in contrast, are putting their differences and internal contradictions aside and are coming together, from all political backgrounds and dispositions, in support of their nation.
Meanwhile, Tel Aviv’s own population is rattled. Social media posts from Israelis hiding in bunkers – “they’re turning us into Gaza” – reflect growing fear. The psychological war, waged by Iran, is winning. The escape efforts come as authorities have banned flights out of Israel .Hundreds of Israelis are scrambling to flee Israel via boats to Cyprus, as Iranian missile strikes intensify. “The marina in Herzliya has recently taken on the atmosphere of a makeshift terminal. Starting at seven in the morning, people begin to arrive – mostly alone, some in couples, a few with families – dragging trolleys and scanning the docks for the yacht scheduled to carry them to Cyprus, and from there, to anywhere but here.” According to Facebook groups, “hundreds” of Israelis are attempting to leave in this way. In Herzliya and other marinas such as Haifa and Ashkelon, owners of small yachts have been organizing trips with groups of up to 10 passengers. Israel’s Population and Immigration Authority has not yet been able to determine the scale of the phenomenon. There are at least 100 people who have prepared to set sail. Some do not live in Israel, while others are meeting up with family members abroad. “Only a few admit they are fleeing the threat of Iranian missile attacks.” None are willing to speak openly, and almost all say they’re leaving because they have no choice, – “We’re tired of the missiles,” an Israeli preparing to set sail said. About 150,000 Israelis are stranded abroad due to Tel Aviv’s war on Iran and the shutdown of all flights caused by Iranian retaliatory missile strikes against Israel. Authorities have also barred Israelis from flying out of Israel during wartime. Thousands flee Israel as western states scramble to extract citizens. As of 23 June, more than 11,000 foreign nationals have been evacuated from Israel, prompting dozens of governments to launch emergency operations under closed airspace and intensifying missile fire. Germany, the UK, Australia, France, the US, and several EU states have mobilized military aircraft, chartered civilian transport, and overland convoys to extract their citizens, many of whom were forced to cross into Jordan, Egypt, or Azerbaijan by bus or on foot before boarding outbound flights. Before October 7th, the Zionist population in Israel was around 7 million. After the attacks by Iran, its Zionist population has been reduced to less than 5 million- as usual, Israel hides anything that leads to its humiliation and failures.
The Beginning of the End: Israel Will Collapse Within Two Years… and Israelis Will Flee Like Rats”* *_By Lior Ben-Shaul, Political analyst
Who would have thought that a state founded on the ashes of a world war, nourished by unlimited Western support, would reach this dark moment? Yes, I say it clearly and without embellishment: Israel will collapse within two years. What we are experiencing today is not just a “security crisis” or a “political stalemate.” It is an existential earthquake that is destroying the foundations of the Zionist project. Hamas has not only won on the battlefield; it has also shattered the myth of the “invincible state” and exposed our fragility to the world. We are drowning, and people are fleeing. Flights to Europe, the United States, and Canada are fully booked. Embassies are inundated with immigration applications. Families are silently selling their possessions. Parents are sending their children abroad to study, with no intention of returning. We are not emigrating… we are fleeing. Yes, we are fleeing like rats from a sinking ship.
Scenes of humiliation have become daily:
– Soldiers crying in front of the cameras.
– Settlers fleeing from the south and the north.
– Ministers shouting and threatening… to no avail.
– And an entire nation living on tranquilizers- or in bunkers
What kind of country is this whose capital and settlements are bombarded daily and which is unable to respond? What kind of army is this that fails to “bring Gaza to its knees” despite thousands of airstrikes? What kind of leadership is this that speaks of victory while destruction gnaws at us from within? Hamas has exposed everything. It has exposed our cowardice and fanned the flames of hatred that are consuming us. In the north, Hezbollah is preparing for the final blow. In the West Bank, the intifada is approaching. Inside, the Arabs are restoring their confidence. But we? We are divided, afraid, and decaying. We are today an entity without a project, without a compass, without justification. A state devoid of morals, that kills civilians and arrests children, then asks the world to applaud it. In two years, Israel will cease to exist as we know it. It may become a “besieged fortress state,” or an “armed Jewish enclave” living off the crumbs of American protection. Or it may collapse completely, and the land will be returned to its owners. Am I exaggerating? Ask history. Every colonial project based on murder and lies has collapsed. Every entity founded on injustice has fallen. The clock is ticking. And when Israel falls—and it will—the world will talk about that moment when a nuclear-armed state abandoned its humanity and lost everything. As for us, if we don’t wake up now, we will be remembered as the most foolish nation that lived in the illusion of power while the world watched it collapse. It would do well to read other articles on Iran and its past history with the 2 families, since 1979. It will help to inform you of the true reality of events, and not the narrative spawned by the Empire of Lies. They are as follows:
The Iran File dated 25 January 2016, https://behindthenews.co.za/iran-a-case-study-part-1/
The Break-Up dated 29 August 2016, https://behindthenews.co.za/the-break-up-part-1-of-a-2-part-series/
Our next article is called “America attacks Iran “
Hmm – you have done a fairly good job of analyzing so many things, but here you falter.
October 7 was not ‘hamas’ attacking Israel – it was a false flag op designed to help the zionists push forward with the greater israel project. ‘hamas’ did not expose anything – in fact, it may barely exist and may be a zionist entity in itself (created by and controlled by).