1 US/Israel launch attack
2 Iran responds
3 Hezbollah enters the war
4 Iraq joins
5 RIP Dubai
6 Russia & China’s roles
7 Two-faced India cornered
8 The Hormuz Closure
9 derivatives & the financial system
10 Iran’s options & ultimatum
In this report, we focus on the first 10 days of this war.
1 US/Israel Launch Attack
Iran, for the first time, agreed to “never” accumulate nuclear material for a bomb; maintain zero stockpiles of enriched material; agree that existing stockpiles would be down-blended; and allow full IAEA verification. This deal would have satisfied the Americans, as it met all the US conditions. This nuclear issue was just a cover, and was meant as a means to tie Iran down. If it is not the nuclear issue, then the West would have brought up another point. This was Thursday. Geneva. The meetings were supposed to resume on Monday. Both the US and Israel do not want to discuss peace, as peace does not suit the plans of these two. To discuss this, a meeting took place in Tehran on Saturday morning, uniting top members of the Iranian leadership. Friday 28th February. Midnight in Washington is 6 am in Teheran. The White house gives the order to launch the attack on Iran. Fighter jets take off from Israeli air bases. Within 2 hours, the first hit was on Iran’s spiritual leader, Ali Khamenei and his family. Another hit took out a gathering of senior Iranian military leaders.
American B-2 bombers, F-15s, F-16s, F-18s, F-22s, and F-35s struck targets across Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj, Kermanshah, and Bushehr. Carrier strike groups led by the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford unleashed sorties from the Arabian Sea and the Eastern Mediterranean. In the first day, 1,000 sorties were launched against Iran. Subsequent days, this number dropped. In the first 10 days, about 5,000 sorties were carried out by US and Israeli planes. They do not enter Iranian airspace, but fire off their missiles close to Iran’s borders. Assuming 2 missiles per plane and 200 sorties a day. That equals 400 missiles fired off. Iran intercepts about 60% of them, leaving about 40% to hit various targets within Iran. So, 40 % of 400 missiles = 160 missiles. What we see are the impacts of these. A large number of these are hitting Teheran.
Israel/US targets are all military infrastructure, radars, air defense systems, airfields, etc. 100s of missiles have been wasted on decoys that Iran carefully placed and fooled the targeting planners. Add to it that most of Iran’s key arsenal and missile cities are deep underground. US/Israeli failure to get at these have enraged them such that they are now attacking civilian targets across the country, with a special emphasis on Teheran. Amongst these targets are schools, hospitals, police stations, ambulances, health infrastructure. The US/Israeli combo are heavily using the “double-tap”. First, they bomb a place, and when first responders and rescuers arrive on scene, a second strike follows. A cruel and vile practice. Just like the girl’s school that was bombed on the 1st day-killing 170 young girls. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced on March 7 that it destroyed 16 aircraft used by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force at Mehraba International Airport near Tehran in a wave of airstrikes in Iran’s capital t.Quds Force is the extraterritorial branch of the IRGC, specialized in unconventional warfare and military intelligence operations. The force has been one of the prime targets of the United States and Israel since the start of the war on Iran a week earlier. In addition to Mehrabad International Airport, recent Israeli strikes on Tehran targeted a key command center of the IRGC. The command center served the IRGC air force’s air defense unit. The IDF added that it also struck Iranian air defense systems, headquarters, logistical warehouses, and other buildings near the command center. In addition, as a part of the wave of strikes, a ballistic missile production and launch site, which also included a weapons depot of the IRGC Quds Force were hit.
The war will likely go on for weeks to come, if not more. The U.S. and Israel have more firepower, but Iran has been causing as much damage with its missiles and drones. There is so much to report, but we focus on the strategic view, and avoid getting bogged down in the details. The US military is pursuing three main objectives: destroying Iran’s ballistic missile and drone capabilities, continuing strikes on the Iranian Navy, and expanding attacks deeper into Iran’s military and industrial infrastructure. To date, they have struck more than 5000 targets. Many of these targets were decoys. Nonetheless, Iran is taking a serious pounding and the damage has been high. Other than trying to degrade Iran’s air-defense- which is still working fine as of writing, the US has barely made a dent in Iran’s military-industrial complex, as most of it is underground. The US and Israeli bombing campaign in Iran has caused massive damage to civilian infrastructure in two weeks of war, causing Iranians opposed to the country’s Islamic government to rethink their previous support for foreign-backed regime change.
The Iranian Red Crescent reported on 12 March that 21,720 civilian units have been damaged in airstrikes to date. Of these, 17,353 are residential units, and 4,122 are commercial units. Israel has now openly acknowledged the strategy of hitting non-military infrastructure, schools, hospitals, and fuel depots are now the targets of the military campaign. As a result, medical teams are struggling with a growing number of civilian casualties. Unfortunately, there are a lot of … victims who are killed at the scene because the US and Israel are carpet bombing civilian infrastructure that at least 1,395 people have been killed. While hitting civilian structures, US forces have been unable to locate all of Iran’s missile launch sites. Civilian areas are also affected because attacks target police stations, military sites, and government officials in their homes. When Iran imposed a closure of the Hormuz Straits, the US was put in a fix. Threats from Trump failed to move the needle. Iran has effectively denied transit for ships from enemy states.
The US/Israeli attack on Iran wasn’t well thought out. A poorly armed West underestimated Iran. The average costs for the war is running about $3 billion a day-at the minimum. This includes fuel, logistics, ammo, etc. To this must be added the destroyed equipment and infrastructure suffered by Israel and the US. We can safely add another $10-30 billion just for the first 10 days. Within Israel itself, the destruction is immense. It appears that the operations Epic Fury (U.S.) and Roaring Lion (Israel) are not going well at all. More on these to follow later in the article.
2 Iran Responds
Assassination of Khomeini
Khomeini was 86 years old, a cancer patient with a crippled left arm. He knew that the West was trying to conduct a regime change in his country, and one of the ways of doing this was to cause division in the country. The most effective way of uniting the nation was if he sacrificed himself. He knew that his death would unify the country. So, the first target of the Israeli attack was on his house, He and his family were killed. A story has emerged that explains why Israel and the United States were so confident that the attack on 28 February would produce a regime change and the fall of the Islamic Republic… Israel’s Mossad had recruited General Esmail Qaani. General Esmail Qaani (often spelled Qaani or Qaani) was an Iranian brigadier general in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) who served as the commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force, the unit in charge of Iran’s overseas and covert operations, until January 2020, when he was appointed to replace Qassem Soleimani after Soleimani was killed in a U.S. drone strike near Baghdad on January 3, 2020. General Qaani reportedly had promised to deliver Iran to the West, but his role in facilitating the murder of the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was exposed and he has been eliminated. Watch this video to understand the extent of his treachery. Yet there was no instant collapse leading to regime change. Less than half an hour after being struck, the Tehran leadership launched a stunning, lightning-fast, coordinated counterpunch on a massive scale, in 24-hour continuous launch mode, thus establishing the parameters of escalation as well as resilience supremacy on the battlefield.
Khamenei named no less than four layers of succession for each key military command and government role. No wonder all crucial decisions after the decapitation were taken in record time. The genocidal/murderous American-Israeli duo has no idea what’s coming. With that move, Iran changed the rules of the game already on Day One of the war. With the assassination of Khomeini, the two families managed to affront the whole of the Shi’ite world – not to mention hundreds of millions of Sunni Muslims as well. It’s the equivalent of killing the Pope. Now, imagine the Christian/catholic reaction if a Muslim killed the Pope and his family. What would the reaction of the Catholic world would be? Total strategic rupture does not even begin to describe it: we have reached the absolute point of no return between Washington and Tehran. The killing of Khamenei is consolidating a national consensus; legitimizing a no holds barred retaliation; and unleashing a multi-front confrontation stretching from the Gulf to the Levant.
Iran’s Decentralized Mosaic Defense – the official denomination – keeps being tweaked 24/7: that’s the IRGC’s long-term strategy of a death by a thousand cuts designed to bleed the Empire dry. Conservative estimates put the cost of this war at roughly $3 billion a day. This is just for fuel and ammunition. This does not include loss of equipment and infrastructure damage.
The Plan & Iran’s WAR Strategy!
The plan was simple. Kill the Supreme Leader. Destroy the command structure. Wait for the regime to collapse. Watch the people take over. It worked in Iraq. It worked in Libya. It worked in Syria. It even worked in Venezuela just weeks before this war began. It didn’t work in Iran. Here’s why. And why this changes everything. Iran spent 20 years studying America’s wars. When Saddam Hussein fell — Iran was watching. – When Muammar Gaddafi was killed — Iran was taking notes. – When Bashar al-Assad fled to Moscow — Iran was in a classroom. There was one man doing most of the studying. General Mohammad Jafari of the IRGC. He observed that in Iraq, Afghanistan, and the Balkans, decapitation strikes on highly-centralized regimes happened rapidly and tilted the battlefield in Washington’s favor within weeks. And he asked one question that changed everything: “If this ever happens to us — what do we do?” The answer became known as the Mosaic Defense Doctrine. Here’s what the Mosaic Doctrine actually is. Think of a mosaic. Hundreds of small individual pieces. Each one different. Each one separate. But together — they form one picture. Iran reorganized the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps into 31 largely autonomous units — one dedicated to Tehran and 30 aligned with each province — designed to fragment command authority in the event of a large-scale conflict, allowing provincial commanders to act independently without waiting for central approval. Each unit has its own missiles. Its own drones. Its own intelligence. Its own command structure. As one defense analyst put it: “Every province is a mosaic, and the commanders have the ability and power to make decisions. So, when they are cut off from their command in Tehran, they can still function as a cohesive military force. “Now here’s where it gets extraordinary. The unit in northern Iran doesn’t know what the unit in western Iran is doing. Because if the northern unit doesn’t know — how would America’s intelligence satellites know? You cannot target what you cannot locate. You cannot destroy what has no center. This is why the decapitation strategy failed. America’s playbook is always the same. Find the head. Cut it off. The body collapses. Killing the Supreme Leader doesn’t lead to automatic collapse of the regime. The Mosaic Doctrine is designed to allow the military to continue functioning even after the leadership is gone. Like a hydra — if you cut off one of its heads, new ones quickly grow back. They killed Iran’s Supreme Leader on Day 1. Iran replaced him within days and kept firing. Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said it himself on March 1st:”We’ve had two decades to study defeats of the US military to our immediate east and west. We’ve incorporated lessons accordingly. Bombings in our capital have no impact on our ability to conduct war. Decentralized Mosaic Defense enables us to decide when — and how — war will end. Read that last line again. Not whether the war ends. WHEN. And HOW. This doctrine was never designed to win. The goal isn’t always to win. Sometimes the goal is to make winning so expensive — the other side decides it’s not worth it. That is exactly what the Mosaic Doctrine is built for. Iran’s immediate tactics are crystal clear: to saturate Israeli air defenses and trigger a massive Interceptor Crisis. Dozens of Iranian underground military fortresses loaded with tens of thousands of missiles and equipment remain invisible – and untouchable. All that is happening in record time as Iran’s decentralized mosaic is fine-tuned. For instance, аn array of deadly anti-ship missiles – which have not been used yet – are coordinated by the IRGC, the navy, the army, and aerospace forces. Same for drones. Even if ballistic missile attacks are not keeping up with the initial, breakneck pace, they are more than enough to keep steadily hammering US military bases (whose air defenses are already largely depleted); plunge the death cult in Israel and the GCC in total economic hell; and scare to death every nook and cranny of “global markets”.
Russia provided Iran with the complete American battle plan A WEEK BEFORE the US/Israeli attack. Iranian tactics are now very different compared to the 12-day war. Only on Day 1 Iran fired over 1,200 missiles and drones. Tehran has tens of thousands of missiles and drones in stock. US interceptors are about to run dry in a matter of days. Along with the expected missile and drone attacks on US bases and Israel, IRGC targeting included pinpoint strikes on undeclared US military and CIA sites in Gulf countries, local energy infrastructure, and even the Hormuz Strait, which has been closed on the initiative of local commanders. Ten hours. That’s what it took for Iran to: put the Empire under siege all across the Gulf; bomb 14 major US military bases, relentlessly – inflicting extensive damage; determine that all US and Israeli assets and interests in the region are legitimate targets for retaliation; block the Strait of Hormuz (then unblocked; but free passage only for Russian and Chinese vessels); if US warships do not retreat, they will be sunk. Even in the short-term, the situation could be much worse than we know. On Day 5, Israeli journalist Alon Mizrahi published a piece that should sober up all the war enthusiasts in the West. Here it goes: “We are witnessing history. Iran, to everyone’s surprise, is destroying American bases so thoroughly, on such a large scale, and so decisively that the world is not ready for this. In 4 days, Iran has managed to expand its sphere of military dominance in the region. Iran has destroyed the most valuable and expensive military bases, property, and equipment in the entire world. The American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are among the largest military facilities in the entire world. These facilities have cost trillions of dollars over several decades to build. We are talking about the fact that the bulk of the military spending that has been made over more than 30 years has gone up in smoke. We see radars costing hundreds of millions of dollars each being destroyed in an instant. We see entire military bases being abandoned and burned, looted, and destroyed. And I’m telling you, as far as I know, the U.S. has never suffered such destruction in its entire history, except perhaps for Pearl Harbor, but that was just one attack. No enemy in a conventional war has ever done this to American military forces as Iran is doing right now. It’s hard to believe. The military situation is so serious that censorship is blocking almost all new information about this war. If you’ve noticed, we’re getting less and less information every day. Thirty-five years ago, during the first Iraqi war, we were shown endless footage from Iraq. Back then, smart bombs and cameras were a novelty, but every night we were shown night-time footage. Now we hardly see any videos at all.
Understand this! Supposedly, this is the world’s largest military power, with the world’s largest air capabilities, and on the fourth day of the U.S. offensive, and supposedly breaking through Iranian defenses, we don’t see any signs of American dominance in the Iranian sky. Where are all the video recordings of our planes flying over Tehran or any other part of Iran, for that matter? American soldiers can’t even dream of setting foot on Iranian soil. And to understand how desperate this war is, on the fourth day you’re already hearing the most insane proposals and ideas from the Trump administration. They’re proposing sending military escorts for oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. What are you even talking about! You want to send American ships into the zone of destruction of thousands of Iranian missiles? NOW no one can get through the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians have been preparing for this for decades. They’re flaunting the idea of arming Kurdish militias to invade Iran. What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen a map of Iran!? It seems the Trump administration has never seen a map of Iran! Do you know how vast it is? What does it mean to invade Iran!? Do you think a militia of 10,000 people could invade Iran!? Or even 50,000? Or 100,000? Iran will swallow them up. The U.S. and Israel have already lost this war. The U.S. and Israel can kill millions of civilians in their homes. They have powerful bombs and can blow up buildings, but they won’t win this war. Iran’s military infrastructure and weaponry is deep underground all over Iran. Neither the Americans nor, especially, the Israelis have any chance of reaching any of it. They’re in deep shit. They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to the Persian Gulf. There will be no American presence in the Middle East. It might be weeks before we know the score, but this is itself a problem: this war wasn’t meant to last weeks – it was meant to be finished in days with the toppling of Iran’s government and their return to the negotiating table – as supplicants. The fact is the Pentagon lost the strategic initiative. The script is being written in Tehran; that’s going to be a war of attrition, where Tehran has gamed every possible scenario.”
So, here’s how it all developed, in a flash. Decapitation strike. Council of Experts convened in minutes. IRGC: “maximum force” response within the hour, unleashed over the death cult. Succession mechanism: in place. Command structure: in place. No regime changes. Zero imperial strategic dominance. From martyrdom to revenge. The whole Global South is watching. Iran’s response was planned long in advance, precisely calculated, and thoroughly researched. They knew where all the intelligence sites and hubs were. And, much more. Whether in the Gulf Arab states, in Saudi Arabia, In Israel or Turkey or even Azerbaijan. Their information on the enemy’s locations, assets and other details helped to locate and destroy the enemy’s critical assets first. First, Iran blinded the eyes and ears. Next destroyed air-defense sites. Then the CIA/Mossad assets and locations. And, finally bases, ports and other critical military infrastructure. Take Iran’s particular focus on the U.S. Fifth Fleet’s infrastructure at Bahrain. The Fifth Fleet forms the backbone to U.S. regional hegemony – as laid out. The fleet also covers three vital strategic chokepoints: the Strait of Hormuz, the Suez Canal, and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. And its HQ is not just a port. It’s a comprehensive radar, intelligence and database center. Iran has succeeded in destroying the radars and much of Bahrain’s port logistic and administrative infrastructure. It is systematically driving U.S. forces out of the Gulf.
The IRGC March 6 targeted a US base with drones and precision missiles in the UAE- the Al Dhafra Air Base that had been used as a launchpad for a deadly strike on a school. The strike in question hit a girls’ elementary school in Minab county in the south of the Islamic Republic on the first day of the American-Israeli war, February 28, killing at least 170 children. Al Dhafra Air Base is located around 32 kilometers to the south of the Emirate capital, Abu Dhabi. The base is considered critical for the operations of the U.S. military in the Middle East. It hosts advanced intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance aircraft. The UAE has extensive American military and intelligence assets located all over the country. Iran is pounding the UAE 24/7. The IRGC also targeted Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait, and Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, destroyed early-warning radar systems, fuel storage tanks for U.S. aircraft, runways, and maintenance workshops for MQ-9 Reaper combat drones and US U-2 Dragon Lady spy planes and many other vital sites such as Ben Gurion Airport, Ramat David and Nevatim Airbases, the naval harbor in Haifa, and military-industry complexes in Beit Shemesh and Ashdod were struck with precision.
Tit-For –Tat-the infrastructure wars
As Israel/US strike key infrastructure assets in Iran, Teheran has informed Israel that Iran is going to follow the policy of “an eye for an eye”. As oil facilities get hit in Iran, the next day, an oil facility gets hit in Israel. Airport for airport; port for port, power plant for power plant, and so on. (IRGC) says it has struck Israel’s Haifa refinery, framing the attack as direct retaliation for fresh Israeli strikes on energy infrastructure in Teheran. The Us struck Iran’s central Bank. Iran hit bank at Citibank’s offices in Bahrein and Dubai. Following these threats, reported that Standard Chartered has begun evacuating staff from offices in Dubai in the United Arab Emirate and told them to work from home. Separately, HSBC closed all branches in Qatar until further notice, according to the report. The war is clearly about to enter a new phase where both sides will prioritize economic targets, from infrastructure, to energy facilities and banks. The war is clearly about to enter a new phase where both sides will prioritize economic targets, from infrastructure, to energy facilities and banks. From data centers in the Gulf area to water desalination plants, the worst-case scenario is now unfolding in the Middle East conflict, with no boundaries regarding civilian infrastructure.
After Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi claimed the US targeted a water desalination plant in Iran, an IRGC kamikaze drone then targeted a desalination plant in Bahrain.GCC states hold about 60% of global desalination capacity and produce around 40% of the world’s desalinated water through more than 400 plants. Desalination plants are critical infrastructure for many Gulf states because almost all of the region’s freshwater comes from either desalinating seawater or pumping from deep aquifers. Dependence on these plants is especially high. Most GCC countries rely heavily on desalination: 90% of Kuwait’s drinking water, 86% in Oman, 70% in Saudi Arabia, and 42% in the UAE. Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest producer, with capacity projected to reach 8.5 million cubic meters per day by 2025 after $80 billion in investments. Araghchi took to X and claimed that U.S. military forces had.”The U.S. set this precedent, not Iran.” IRGC targeting of the data centers is another way of Tehran telling Gulf states aligned with the U.S. that the regime can turn off their AI data centers. Let’s just hope the IRGC does not become enraged enough and begin signaling to Gulf states that it can turn off the region’s water. That would be a worst-case scenario and spark humanitarian emergencies for millions of people. Over in Israel, there’s a heavy military censorship campaign and apparent attempt to conceal the true extent of damage after 10 days of war.
The Handala Hacking Group announced a successful cyber operation in retaliation for the brutal attack on the Minab school and ongoing cyber assaults on the resistance axis’s infrastructure. The group targeted Striker Corporation, linked to the global Zionist lobby, delivering what they described as an unprecedented blow. The operation has reportedly wiped over 200,000 systems, servers, and mobile devices clean, extracted 50 terabytes of critical data, and forced Striker’s offices in 79 countries to close. Iran’s industrial centers have become a new target from day 8. Iran responded with strikes on industrial centers in Israel and the Gulf states. In this case, the US has more to lose as many American companies have investments in the region. Iran escalated its retaliatory strikes in the last few days, especially against Gulf states, with multiple infrastructure facilities hit. Meanwhile, the semi-official Tasnim news agency released a list of offices and infrastructure run by top U.S. companies with Israeli links whose technology has been used for military applications, describing them as “Iran’s new targets”. “As the scope of the regional war expands to infrastructure war, the scope of Iran’s legitimate targets expands,” the agency said. The companies include Google, Microsoft, Palantir, IBM, Nvidia and Oracle, and the listed offices and infrastructure for cloud-based services are located in multiple Israeli cities, as well as in some Gulf countries.
Iran’s drone attacks on data centers operated by Amazon Web Services (AWS) has laid bare the Pentagon’s lack of strategic foresight. AWS facilities in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain were struck . This infrastructure supports not only US economic interests in the region, but also security functions, including the digital ecosystem of military facilities and the capabilities of intelligence services stationed in countries neighboring Iran . A clear sign of a unified information network underpinning the US presence was that drone strikes simultaneously targeted: → Diplomatic compounds, CIA stations and regional data centers. Adverse effects: This disrupts communications, information connectivity, and command-and-control systems. Complicating matters further, US forces are now “blind” after key radar installations were destroyed in the region, along with drones. In the 10 days of war to date, more than 15 expensive drones have been downed. Add another 80 more less expensive drones to this. The financial cost of this is above a billion dollars. That these drones are easier to take down because they were designed for counter-terrorism environments with little air defense, not for countries with modern missile systems
The Kurdish “Invasion”
The Iraqi Kurds have sold themselves to Israel and the Us decades back. And every time they get used and abused by these two. So, now, once again, these Kurds are preparing to invade Iran’s western regions. Only two months ago the MIT – Turkish intel – directly warned the IRGC that Kurdish fighters were trying to cross from Iraq into Iran. Let that sink in: a full NATO member passing time-sensitive operational intelligence to the IRGC just as Wall Street was getting ready for war. The CIA/Mossad has armed them. It will cause problems for Iran, but this CIA invasion (of 10 to 50,000) will get wiped out by Iran. It seems that the Kurdish leaders got cold feet at the last minute. A senior official stated that the Kurds are “not a guns-for-hire “group. So, that option is off the table for the 2 families.
Losses Within Israel
When the US attacked Iran’s Navy and destroyed many ships and boats, the bases from which the aggression was launched had been completely destroyed, with 17 naval vessels belonging to the United States and Israel. Israel has been hit so hard, that they are in a daze. Censorship is strict, but leaks are coming out- mainly of general public areas. Regarding strategic, military and intel sites. There is no videos or photos of the damage. Soon, Tel Aviv and other areas in Israel are coming to resemble Gaza. Israel controls what information gets out. Russia doesn’t care about Israel’s narrative. They published the numbers anyway. RUSSIAN INTELLIGENCE JUST LEAKED ISRAEL’S REAL CASUALTIES. THE NUMBERS ARE SHOCKING. Russian intelligence sources have released a startling report claiming that Israel has suffered massive personnel and strategic losses following the first 72 hours of Iranian retaliatory strikes. According to these findings, the casualties include high-ranking officials and specialized personnel, including 11 nuclear scientists and 6 IDF generals. The report specifically highlights a critical security breach at the Dimona nuclear facility, suggesting that Israel has lost operational access or control over the site during the height of the bombardment. This would mark one of the most significant strategic blows to Israeli national security in decades, targeting the core of its defensive and scientific infrastructure.
Beyond high-level leadership, the data suggests a heavy toll on the Israeli military’s operational capacity, with reports of 198 air force officers and 462 soldiers killed in action. Additionally, the Mossad intelligence agency has allegedly lost 32 agents, indicating that the Iranian retaliation successfully targeted sensitive intelligence nodes and personnel. While Israeli officials have not yet confirmed the scale of these specific figures, the report from Moscow underscores the high intensity of the 2026 conflict’s “retaliation phase.” The coordination required for such precise strikes on scientists and generals suggests that Iran utilized advanced intelligence—potentially aided by outside powers—to bypass traditional air defense umbrellas. We are continuing to follow these developments as the fog of war remains thick over the actual casualty counts in the region. According to Russian intelligence’s own investigation, Israel’s losses in just the FIRST 3 DAYS are: 6 Israeli Generals — DEAD; 32 Mossad agents — DEAD; 78 Shin Bet operatives — DEAD; 198 Air Force officers — DEAD; 462 soldiers — DEAD; 11 nuclear scientists — DEAD; 423 reservists — DEAD
That’s over 1,200 casualties in 72 HOURS. And this is from RUSSIAN intelligence — not Iranian propaganda. Israel hasn’t confirmed OR denied these numbers. Complete silence. Ask yourself: If these numbers were false, why wouldn’t Israel immediately deny them?
- 6 Generals in 3 days — the U.S. lost ZERO generals in 20 years of Afghanistan.
- 32 Mossad agents — the agency that “never gets touched” just got DECIMATED
- 11 nuclear scientists — Iran didn’t just hit military targets, they hit Israel’s FUTURE nuclear capability
- 198 Air Force officers — the backbone of Israel’s entire war machine, GUTTED
The media is showing you Iron Dome interceptions and victory speeches. They’re NOT showing you the body bags. The IDF is projecting strength while bleeding out behind closed doors. This is a war Israel is SURVIVING — barely.
* 4 F15 US fighter jets have been downed
* 6 US refueling aircraft have been destroyed
* 15 highly advanced MQ9 drones downed
* 10 +- Israeli drones of various sophistication downed
* Active pursuing and direct targeted hits of US soldiers in the Gulf
* Israel is targeted every 2 or 3 hours with Iranian missiles evading the air defenses in every attack.
* Targeted and damaged the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier was forced to withdraw, and is returning to its US port
* Maintain the closure of the Strait of Hormuz
These figures above of the list of casualties – from Russian sources- ARE NOT VERIFIED. We are in a fog of war. Lots of lies and disinformation. Plus, both the US and Israel have a history of concealing the deaths of their soldiers. Taking everything into account for the first 10 days, we can assume that there are at least 2,000 casualties on the US side, and a similar number on the Israeli side. However, this is pure speculation as the truth may not be revealed for months. IRGC head Majid Mousavi announcing that, “after neutralizing US air defense layers in the region, Iran is transitioning to a new missile doctrine. From now on, no missiles carrying warheads lighter than 1 ton will be used. Waves of missile attacks will be more frequent and more widespread. “That is already translating, in practice, as the IRGC launching more Kheibar Shekan solid-fuel medium-range ballistic missiles, as it happened earlier this week on Tel Aviv and on. Read it as the first Iranian operation explicitly dedicated to the new Supreme Leader. And then there are the Khorramshahr-4 missiles: liquid-fueled, 2,000 to 3,000-kilometer range, carrying even heavier 1,500 to 1,800-kilogram warheads, with thruster-powered maneuverable re-entry vehicles. We are talking about the heaviest conventional warheads in Iran’s arsenal, launched side by side with the upgraded Kheibar Shekans.
In the first 10 days, Iran has fired 700 missiles and 3600 drones. Most of these missiles were produced 10 years ago. Many of the newly produced missiles have not been used yet. Many of its missile depots remain untouched. Besides, Iran’s production of missiles and drones are ongoing. It has enough of these to last many years, at its current rate of fire.
False Flag Ops
Israel conducted attacks against Saudi oil refineries and Qatar’s gas infrastructures. Their agents were caught by the authorities. Israel was creating “facts” to incite a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Fortunately, the leaders in these two countries know the game-plans of the US/Israel very well. They did not fall for this trick. Having failed at this, Israel then turned its attention to Cyprus, Turkey and Azerbaijan- conducting false flag operations designed to draw in NATO on its side. Authorities in all 3 countries saw through this, and refused to fall for the CIA/Mossad traps. Iran even denied it was behind any of these attacks. The funny thing here is the US took a Shahid drone and reverse-engineered it, and re=named it Lucas. It is these drones that are used in the many false-flag ops done by the CIA/Mossad combo.
Room Service
After the US bases and CIA sites were destroyed by Iran, many soldiers and agents moved into top hotels and apartment towers. Iran tracked these high-ranking folks, and targeted them with drones. This is what we call “room service”. There is no place to hide.
Israeli Leadership Vulnerable and on the Run
On day 7, Iran targeted the homes of Netanyahu and Ben Gvir. Bibi’s brother was killed. So was Ben Gvir. In addition, David Barnea-the head of Mossad was also killed at Mossad HQ. Plus, the heads of Military Intelligence, the army chief of staff and the commander of the Air Force. The unknown fate of the Bibi and reports he may be dead or fleeing with his family highlight the crisis within the Zionist regime. If this child-killing criminal is alive, we will continue to pursue and kill him with full force. We have to wait out the fog of war.
3 Hezbollah enters the War
Since the Israeli/US imposed ceasefire in October 2024, Hezbollah has practiced strategic patience- while there was no ceasefire for Israel. More than 4,000 breaches, and 100s of killed because of Israel’s continuous attacks on Beirut, and southern and eastern Lebanon. Now, with the crazy US/Israeli attack on Iran, Lebanon has once again moved to the forefront. The latest escalation began on Monday, Day 3, when Hezbollah launched six rockets toward the occupied Palestinian territories. Tel Aviv responded with a wide-ranging aggression, unleashing a series of strikes targeting Beirut’s southern suburb and broad areas of southern Lebanon. The return of the resistance to the battlefield this swiftly was not simply an act of solidarity with Iran. For Hezbollah, the conflict has entered an existential phase, and direct confrontation has become the only way to change the balance of power on the ground. Understanding this moment requires examining what happened inside Hezbollah since the war ended in November 2024. The war was costly. Israel assassinated key figures in the party’s political and military leadership. Yet after absorbing the shock, the organization adopted a deliberate strategy of ambiguity that came to govern its daily operations … The military wing gradually withdrew from view and moved almost entirely underground. Informal channels that had existed for two decades, through which journalists could gain some insight into the resistance’s activities, were effectively shut down … The leadership refused to respond to pressure from supporters who interpreted the silence as weakness. The last war exposed how deeply Israeli intelligence had penetrated Hezbollah’s internal structure through technology, human sources,and accumulated experience. Yet Israeli officials are now expressing growing concern about the limits of their current knowledge.
On the Lebanese political front, senior officials appear to rely largely on the US–Israeli narrative of the regional war. Many assumed Hezbollah would remain passive. Their calculation was to freeze the question of the party’s weapons until Iran falls, after which, resolving the issue would become straightforward. Events unfolded differently; Hezbollah chose to open fire. The Lebanese army, for its part, has made clear it will not be drawn into an internal confrontation. Senior security sources say the army leadership has long warned American and Saudi interlocutors that forcing the military to confront the resistance would lead directly to civil war. The Israeli army is preparing for a prolonged war on Lebanon that could potentially extend beyond the current campaign against Iran. Israel was considering renewing the war on Lebanon even before Hezbollah fired the first rocket barrage early on 2 March. Multiple reports from last year revealed that plans were in place for escalation against Lebanon. Israel has killed at least 600 Lebanese since Hezbollah opened the front just over a week ago. The confrontation between the Islamic Resistance and the Zionist forces reached a turning point by the first weekend. The tactical strikes were aimed to force settlers across the northern region of occupied Palestine to evacuate their settlements under heavy rocket fire, with more than 100 rockets launched within a short period. Suicide drones also targeted Israeli army positions and command-and-control centers, creating confusion within the military and political leadership. Reports indicated that Israeli intelligence underestimated Hezbollah’s capabilities, with Radwan Force units maintaining positions south of the Litani River and accessing weapons caches containing anti-tank missiles, mortars, and rockets despite months of Israeli bombardment. Israeli officials and media began calling for an expansion of the war to include Lebanese infrastructure and a large-scale ground invasion. In addition, mediators warned that facilities in the country could be targeted if the Lebanese army did not act against Hezbollah. The occupation’s response was familiar. Whenever Israel faces pressure on the battlefield or struggles to contain the resistance, it often widens its target range against civilian areas in an attempt to restore deterrence and pressure the resistance beyond the frontline. Northern Israel is abandoned and paralyzed under Hezbollah’s infernal fire, just a year after a war that came a heavy price.
Hezbollah’s ability to operate at its current strength is a big surprise that surprised Israeli intelligence. Less than a year and a half ago, the defense establishment boasted that they had dealt a particularly hard blow to Hezbollah, cutting off its military leadership and neutralizing its command-and-control structures. Furthermore, after the assassination of Nasrallah … the IDF, the Mossad, the political echelons, and the studios belittled … Naim Qassem, saying he was weak and lacking military knowledge and leadership skills. Apparently, they were wrong again. Yet subsequent developments on the ground quickly revealed a different reality. Hezbollah has succeeded in restoring a significant portion of its operational capacity and rebuilding. The scale and speed of that recovery appear to have surprised the Israeli military itself, which now seems uncertain in its assessments and strategic choices. The battlefield in the south has not unfolded according to Israeli expectations. Hezbollah fighters have appeared at the forward edge of the front line, operating in direct confrontation with Israeli forces. Hezbollah fighters have already demonstrated their operational readiness, striking advancing tanks with precision and targeting military vehicles alongside positions held by Israeli soldiers inside Lebanese territory. At the same time, Hezbollah has continued striking military sites deep inside occupied territory, a clear indication that its missile capabilities remain intact and capable of imposing new deterrence equations on the battlefield. The repercussions of these developments have not remained confined to the military arena.
Inside Lebanon, the situation has rapidly spilled into the political sphere. A fierce debate erupted after the government’s decision to “ban Hezbollah’s military activity” and classify its military and security operations as “outside the law.” The move is widely viewed as a dangerous escalation that effectively aligns with Israeli objectives by placing political pressure on the resistance. More importantly, the decision carries potentially serious implications for Lebanon’s fragile internal balance.
At its core, the measure risks opening the door to an internal confrontation whose consequences could spiral out of control in a country where the political and sectarian structure can hardly absorb such shocks. Within Lebanon’s military establishment itself, signals quickly emerged reflecting awareness of this reality. Available information indicates that the Lebanese army has been ordered to disarm Hezbollah and enter into direct confrontation with Hezbollah. Such a step could fracture the army itself, something senior officers understand all too well, regardless of the personal positions of the army commander. This tension became evident during the cabinet meeting, where the decision was debated. The session between Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and Lebanese Army Commander General Rudolphe Haikal was tense when Salam ordered the Army to proceed, and Haikal objected. He warned that attempting to impose such a decision by force could produce dangerous consequences. Despite the government’s decision, both the military and political realities suggest that enforcing such a measure remains beyond the army’s practical capacity. If the government insists, then Hezbollah would just take over the government. External pressure on the Lebanese government remains a central factor in the unfolding crisis. The government has succumbed to international and Arab pressures aligned with the Zionist enemy and chose submission and humiliation instead of sovereignty, freedom, and independence, moving the country toward internal strife and instability. Both US and Israeli demands were that Hezbollah must be disarmed. Financial and economic pressure was applied on Hezbollah- which did not yield. Washington’s position has been clear for years, but the role of Saudi Arabia has drawn particular attention. Riyadh had previously sent signals suggesting a more realistic approach toward Hezbollah. The collapse of Hezbollah would not necessarily serve Saudi Arabia’s strategic interests or those of other regional actors.
The story continues in Part 2