The story continues from Part 1 – – –
Washington’s Response
Washington confirmed it helped Israel repel the missile barrage, as US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan told reporters on Tuesday that “US naval destroyers joined Israeli air defense units in firing interceptors to shoot down inbound missiles,” calling the Iranian operations “ineffective.”
“We have made clear that there will be consequences – severe consequences – for this attack, and we will work with Israel to make that the case,” Sullivan added. Israeli and Western officials have widely stressed the need for a strong response against Iran, with White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan stating: “There will be serious consequences for Iran as a result of this attack and we will work with Israel to make sure that happens.”
The reality is the US Navy fired 12 missiles at the incoming Iranian missiles, without success. It seems that the US ships off shore have run out of missiles.
Israel in Panic
The Israel Defense Forces announced that its response will be “seen by the entire Middle East,” with Israeli Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz stating that the entire “free world” had to support Israel – a reference to expected Western support for future Israeli attacks. When Netanyahu gave a speech in the aftermath of the attack. He was shaking in fear, and it was visible to millions of viewers, as evidenced by the papers that was shaking in his hands!
The Iranian strike has demonstrated the severe limitations of Israel’s air defenses. Netanyahu and a number of ministers were forced to remain in a fortified underground location in Jerusalem for hours during the attack, with Western correspondents reporting that massive explosions could be felt across Tel Aviv. The show did not disappoint. In fact, it is the best thing that has ever happened, at least since the Holocaust. Watching the Zionists and thieves screaming as missiles lit up the skies over Tel Aviv and rained down on Jew locations, I could not remember feeling this level of childlike glee since… well, since I was a child.
Iran has warned the US it will no longer exercise “unilateral self-restraint” when responding to Israeli attacks. Tehran has reportedly sent a note to Washington via Qatar declaring that “the phase of unilateral self-restraint has ended”. “Our response will be solely directed at the aggressor. Should any country render assistance to the aggressor, it should likewise be deemed an accomplice and a legitimate target,” the mission said. “We advise countries to refrain from entangling themselves in the conflict between the Israeli regime and Iran and to distance themselves from the fray.” “The resistance in the region will not back down even with the killing of its leaders,” Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei while leading Friday prayers in Tehran. “The brilliant action of our armed forces a couple of nights ago was completely legal and legitimate,” he said defiantly in the rare appearance.
Just a few days ago, a senior IRGC official stated that Iran has advanced weapons even more powerful than nukes, and that Iran has such capabilities that it will shock the world. He cited 2 examples of this. He stated that a few years ago, when the US applied sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, Iran sent a message – it blew up five oil tankers at the Fujairah port. This was followed up by blowing up two Japanese oil tankers DURING the visit by US, Japan’s PM to Iran. It also threatened to destroy Israel’s energy, power, electricity and communication grids-this sending Israel back to the Stone Age. It also issued a warning to the other states in the region that if they support Israel in its attack on Iran, then they must expect to see their energy infrastructure destroyed as well.
Following this, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE all joined in and refused Israel and the US to use their bases or air spaces for this. Between this Arab refusal to the US/Israeli war machine, and Russia’s installation of advance air defense systems in Iran, Israel and the US are stumped. For now.
Washington understands that its regional allies may not remain neutral if tensions escalate due to the aggressive policies of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor which American assets might become targets for Tehran in any possible confrontation. Washington’s influence in the region spans a network of military, economic, political, and media interests, all of which are potentially at risk. For instance, Iran’s ability to strike US interests in the region has grown alongside its development of advanced weaponry, and this include targeting key US military installations.
The previously targeted Ain al-Asad Air Base in Iraq’s Anbar province is a prime example. This base provides extensive logistical support, training facilities, and hosting up to 5,000 US troops. The base gained particular attention after Iran directly targeted it in retaliation for the US assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani in 2020. The targeting of this base by Iran highlights the very real threat Tehran poses to American assets in the region.
Naval support activity in Bahrain, home to the US Fifth Fleet, is another critical asset that would likely be a target in the event of an Iranian escalation. The Fifth Fleet operates across a vast area that includes the Red Sea, Arabian Gulf, and Indian Ocean, covering key shipping lanes such as the Suez Canal and Strait of Hormuz. This naval presence is a cornerstone of US influence in West Asia, playing a pivotal role in protecting global trade routes and energy sources, and countering threats like terrorism and piracy. Under normal circumstances, the Fifth Fleet consists of more than 20 warships, including submarines and destroyers assembled around an aircraft carrier, and in a ready-made amphibious group of ships, cargo planes, combat helicopters and various support units. The fleet has about 15,000 personnel on ships, in addition to 1,000 on land.
In addition to these, Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, southeast of Riyadh, has also been an important center for US military operations since the first Gulf War. Although US forces briefly left the base in 2003, the returned in 2019, reaffirming its strategic importance in the face of growing tensions with Iran. Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest US base in the region, serves as a major forward operations base and joint air operations center, hosting around 10,000 US troops. Similarly, Al-Dhafra Air Base in the UAE has a significant US military presence, housing over 3,800 troops and more than 60 aircraft, including Lockheed U-2 reconnaissance planes and advanced fighter jets like the F-22. Since 2003, Al-Udeid has been the main base of US Central Command (CENTCOM). It also plays a crucial role in surveillance and intelligence operations across Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan.
Beyond military and economic interests, US embassies and diplomatic missions in countries like Iraq, Lebanon, and Bahrain are vulnerable to attacks by Iran’s allies. Tehran’s influence in these countries, coupled with its capacity to mobilize allied resistance factions, could result in significant damage to Washington’s diplomatic efforts. These embassies or “CIA dens” serve as vital centers for US political influence, making them high-value targets in the event of a broader conflict with Iran. Many US service members in the Middle East are stationed at bases along the Persian Gulf in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and the eastern part of Saudi Arabia. Maintaining a forward military presence in the Persian Gulf is vital to securing American interests, but these bases are squarely within range of Iran’s increasingly formidable arsenal of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones. Making matters worse, Iran and its proxies have repeatedly demonstrated in recent years that they are able and willing to use all three of these types of weapons systems to target US and partner forces in the region.
The long-pervasive belief in American military supremacy is a myth; a mirage; a fallacious narrative fashioned from fables and Hollywood films. The US military has not won a war since WW2. They have mercilessly bombed the crap out of many smaller, weaker countries, killed millions of people, and yet never once achieved strategic victory. Not since WW2 have they faced anything even faintly approximating high-intensity warfare. Indeed, never at any time in history has the US military fought against a great power adversary at the height of its strengths potential great power adversaries — namely, Russia, China, and Iran. And now, here in 2024, the US military has never been in a more weakened state relative to any of its adversaries.
Decrease in American Naval Support to Israel
In the October 1 attack, we see that the US provided support to Israel with roughly 50% fewer ships compared to the April 14 attack. Most importantly, there was no American aircraft carrier strike group in the Mediterranean when the October 1 attacks took place. The fact that the US had only three Aegis destroyers with air defense capability in the Eastern Mediterranean during the October 1 Iranian attack is not a strategic choice but rather a weakness in its navy. The record number of ships in terms of military support and assistance to Israel was set in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. The US had a presence in the Eastern Mediterranean with 60 ships during the 1973 Arab-Israeli War.
In short, Iran no longer believes that simply demonstrating the capability of its missile systems is changing Israel’s behavior. So, the next time Iran is forced to attack, it’s going to inflict as much damage on Israel as humanely possible. It doesn’t get much blunter than that. If Israel attacks Iran, Iran is going to ‘bomb the hell’ out of Israel knowing the fact they run a small and isolated country with a limited amount of critical infrastructure. Full stop. At this point the Ayatollah can push a button and turn the lights out in Israel, and no amount of American money can prevent that.
And that is why—as of Saturday afternoon 12th October—the Biden administration has deployed “Dozens of additional U.S. fighter jets (to) the Middle East”, along with 40,000 US military personnel and two carrier strike groups, all of which will be used in the upcoming Israeli war on Iran.
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin authorized the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) battery. The US is seeking to help bolster Israel’s air defenses following a large-scale Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israeli airbases on 1 October. Each THAAD battery, for example, consists of six truck-mounted launchers, 48 interceptors, radio and radar equipment, requires 95 soldiers to operate, and costs between $1 billion and $1.8 billion, with each missile costing around $13 million. This amounts to $625 million for all 48 missiles. The US military has seven THAAD batteries. Each consists of six truck-mounted launchers, holds 48 interceptors, radio and radar equipment, and requires 95 soldiers to operate. The THAAD is considered a complementary system to the Patriot missile defense system, but it can defend a wider area. It can hit targets at ranges of 150 to 200 kilometers. It has emerged that the US plans to send a second THAAD system. The deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) battery along with US boots on the ground to operate it also comes in response to Israel’s air defenses and the diminishing stock of interceptor missiles.
“If Iran responds to an Israel attack [with a massive air strike campaign], and [Hezbollah] joins in too, Israel’s air defenses will be stretched … The US can’t continue supplying Ukraine and Israel at the same pace. We are reaching a tipping point,” Dana Stroul, a former senior US defense official said.
Boaz Levy, the chief executive of Israel Aerospace Industries, stated that his company was running triple shifts to keep production lines for interceptor missiles running. “Some of our lines are working 24 hours, seven days a week. Our goal is to meet all our obligations,” Levy said, adding that the time required to produce interceptor missiles was “not a matter of days. It is no secret that we need to replenish stocks,”
Pax Israel: The Entire Middle East and millions of subjugated Arabs languishing permanently under the Israeli boot-heel.
This is the Zionist dream in a nutshell; a peaceful, prosperous region in which the dominant power, Israel, sits at the center of a critical economic corridor that links the production capability and gas reserves of the East with the technology and bustling markets of the West. But what about the United States? What will happen if the Biden administration recklessly backs Israel and finds itself in a direct confrontation with Iran? How will that turn out?
The question of whether the battlefield primacy of the Resistance in the region will finally be comprehended by their adversaries, in light of October 1st, remains an open one. As Russian military strategist Igor once observed, “This Anglo-Saxon breed understands nothing but force.”
The manipulation of the overall population—are an essential part of the larger machine that prepares the public for intervention, escalation and war. Their current assignment is to convince the American people that Israel’s impending attack on Iran serves America’s national security interests which, of course, it doesn’t. In fact, the country is being boondoggled into a bloody conflagration that will, in all probability, precipitate a sharp decline in US global power followed by a swift end to the so-called American Century.
All of this was forecast by one of America’s most scholarly foreign policy analysts, Zbigniew Brzezinski, who warned the foreign policy elite in Washington and New York on the topic of Iran more than a decade ago in an op-ed in the Los Angeles Times. Zbigniew Brzezinski was a strategic advisor to the late David Rockefeller. In 2013, he received a top secret report on Russia’s development of hypersonic missiles and other advance missiles being developed. In panic, he took this report and explained to his boss that if the US does not act within a year to start the project to break up Russia, then the US would lose its super-power status. A few months later, the CIA did a coup in Ukraine and began the build-up to war with Russia. Regarding Iran, he wrote a book in 1997 (27 years ago!) called the “The Grand Chessboard”.
Below are some of his quotes on Iran.
“Potentially, the most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Iran and Iran, an anti-hegemonic coalition united not by ideology but by complimentary grievances “.
“….an attack on Iran would be an act of political folly, setting in motion a progressive upheaval in world affairs. With the U.S. increasingly the object of widespread hostility, the era of Americanpreponderance could even come to a premature end. Although the United States is clearly dominant in the world at the moment, it has neither the power nor the domestic inclination to impose and then to sustain its will in the face of protracted and costly resistance….”
“All I know as an analyst of international politics is (a war with Iran) this would be a disaster. And, frankly, I think it will be a disaster for us more than for Israel because, as a result of the war…. we will be forced out of the region… because of the dynamic hatred that develops. And, have no illusions about it, if the conflict spreads, we’re going to be alone… And if we are driven out, how much would you bet on the survival of Israel for more than five or ten years?” He was one of the last sane strategic thinkers left in Washington – he passed away a few years ago.
For Israel to achieve its regional ambitions, it must lure the US into a war with Iran. In order to accomplish that feat, Israel must strike Iran with enough force to provoke a violent and destructive retaliation. As soon as it looks like Israel is in trouble, the US will ride to the rescue with “guns blazing”. But, first, Israel must initiate a provocation big enough to ensure the outcome that it seeks. In short, Israel’s real target is the US because it is the US that must be hoodwinked into fighting Israel’s war. Regrettably, duping America is what Israel does best. Americans are under the illusion that the United States will prevail in a war with Iran. But it’s not true. Iran has been preparing for a war with the US for over two decades, and they are ready-to-go. They have developed a missile technology that far exceeds anything currently available in the Pentagon’s arsenal and they are fully prepared to conduct a protracted asymmetrical war that will trigger a cataclysmic disruption of critical supply lines followed by the thundering crash of global markets. Bottom line: If the US attacks Iran, Washington is going to suffer a withering knockout blow that will end its dominance in the region and perhaps the world.
The top brass in the Pentagon know this as do many in the Intelligence community. They know that a war with Iran is a bridge too far and a fast-track to the dustbin of history. That is why Israel has delayed its retaliatory attack on Iran for so long, because Tel Aviv and the Pentagon are not on the same page. Even so, Netanyahu is charging ahead assuming—quite rightly—that the US will rescue Israel if its survival is seriously threatened by an Iranian missile attack. But, make no mistake, US generals and military leaders do not want this war, and that is why Israel’s attack on Iran has been delayed. It’s not merely a matter of selecting the appropriate targets; it’s a question of whether the United States is prepared to go to war with Iran and (potentially) its allies, Russia and China.
Keep in mind, it’s been 19 days since Iran attacked Israel and inflicted severe damage on military bases and a gas platform off the coast of Gaza. Most analysts expected Israel to respond immediately which was what many of the Israeli leaders (including Netanyahu) had promised. But now, nearly 3 weeks later, nothing has happened; and the reason nothing has happened is because there’s a split between the gung-ho Israeli-firsters at the State Department and the White House and the sober-minded realists at the Pentagon. The problem, of course, is that the United States cannot win a conventional war with Iran and, if it tries to do so, it’s going to see its military bases, airfields and a sizable number of its servicemen vanish in a pillar of black smoke.
The US cannot defeat Iran in a conventional fight. And here’s the game changer: Iran is literally days away from being able to produce a nuclear weapon. If the US or Israel wants to play nuclear games, Iran is ready to play that game. And this changes everything because Israel can no longer say, “We can nuke you, but you can’t nuke us”. Iran has put all the pieces together, and it would be a matter of days before they have a functioning nuclear device capable of being mounted on a missile that cannot be shot down and that missile will be fired against Israel or American targets in the region.
This is a game changer. The days of the United States intimidating Iran are over, passed, finished. And the same with Israel. Israel can be wiped out tomorrow. Iran is prepared to fire 2,000 missiles at Israel in the span of a few hours. These missiles would destroy the entire infrastructure of Israel including every power plant, every water purification plant, everything that deals with modern civilized society will be eliminated because it can’t be defended and because Israel has nothing to fall back upon. They will literally bombed back to the Stone Age, and that’s without using nuclear weapons. Three to five nuclear weapons will wipe Israel off the face of the earth. There will be no Israel. That is the reality facing Israel today. That is the weakness that the Rothschild’s has brought on the Israeli state and the Israeli people.
Iran has the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the region, with at least eight types of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs), all of which are capable of striking US bases along the Persian Gulf from Iranian territory. Ballistic missiles are particularly dangerous, as their high speed makes them immune from Israeli or US air defense systems.
Of course, some will argue that if push-comes-to-shove, the US can always draw from its nuclear arsenal and turn Tehran into a parking lot. This is true, but it is also true that Iran has placed its hypersonic ballistic missiles in locations around the country which means that—if Iran is destined to become a parking lot—then Israel will meet the same exact fate. In fact, some would call that “poetic justice.”
The Axis of Resistance forms an Official Military Alliance
Iranian parliament is reportedly drafting a bill to create an official military alliance between all parties of the resistance axis which includes Iran, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Hezbollah, and Hamas. The bill mentions the creation of a joint operation room and a unified military infrastructure, as well as joint military exercises and an obligation to send military and humanitarian aid in case of any act of aggression by the US or Israel against any one of the parties .
After all of its gloating, the Zionist entity appears to have fallen for its own propagandistic bravado and is sleepwalking into the abyss. Having failed to defeat Hamas in Gaza, the Israelis appear to have lulled themselves into a belief that they had already crushed Hezbollah with their initial blows of the war.
When the Israelis detonated thousands of pagers on September 17, a day later detonating walkie-talkie devices, inflicting dozens of deaths and hundreds of serious injuries, this represented a momentary tactical victory for the settler project. What followed, with the assassination of countless Hezbollah officials, culminating in the martyrdom of the party’s Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, made the Israelis appear as if they were then in the driver’s seat of the conflict. Netanyahu grew so confident and emboldened that he decided to record a video message to the people of Iran, indicating that he would soon aid in carrying out a regime change. The Zionist leaders ordered large-scale airstrikes against thousands of targets across Lebanon, devastating civilian infrastructure and inflicting over 2,000 deaths. The Israelis repeatedly pounded the Southern Suburb of Beirut with hundreds of tons of explosives, while expanding the nature of their strikes against Syrian territory too.
While the Arab and Muslim World entered a stage of collective mourning over the repeated attacks on Lebanon, processing the loss of one of its most cherished leaders in recent memory, the Israelis also decided to declare a ground incursion into South Lebanon. Terrorist tactics and assassinations have served as propaganda victory in the media battle of the optics, in addition to a temporary tactical victory, which certainly inflicted a blow. Yet, the strategic initiative was suddenly recovered on October 1, with the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC)’s unprecedented response to the repeated assassinations. Despite countless attempts to deflect, cover up, and downplay the effectiveness of the Iranian response, dubbed “Operation True Promise II,” the impact was felt throughout the entire region.
What also happened following this, with the repeated successful strikes against Israeli targets by the Houthis and the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, combined with repeated Hezbollah’s successes in repelling the Zionist forces’ attempts at penetrating Lebanese land, all worked at changing the direction of the tide. On October 7, Hamas demonstrated its ability to hit “Tel Aviv” with M90 rockets, which was followed by strikes on “Tel Aviv” by the Houthis and then Hezbollah. After repeated costly failures along the Lebanese border, the Israelis then decided to invade Jabalia Refugee Camp in northern Gaza and begin a terror bombing campaign across northern Gaza, also carrying on its assassinations of journalists and educators in the besieged territory. However, despite the terror that they inflicted, when their forces entered on the ground and besieged Jabalia Refugee Camp, the Palestinian Resistance factions began executing sophisticated and daring ambush operations, exacting a significant price on their soldiers. The al-Qassam Brigades – the armed wing of Hamas – then began firing drones at troop formations and even one toward Israeli settlements, indicating that their capabilities were much greater than they were previously believed to be by the enemy. Suddenly, the Israelis were in a position where the Palestinian Resistance was killing and injuring their soldiers in Gaza, while Hezbollah was doing the same from South Lebanon.
The Israelis now must mount significant offensive actions across all fronts and fight on, managing a battle with Lebanon, Gaza, the West Bank, Yemen, Iraq, and even Iran. Hezbollah undoubtedly enjoys superiority on the ground, in face-to-face combat, while the Zionist military has only proven capable of pulling off sophisticated terrorist plots and assassinations, in combination with their elite video-game warriors who specialize in using advanced weapons from a distance. The reality is that typing on a keyboard or commanding controllers, while sitting in a fortified position, may deliver some tactical victories, but it will not win a war that requires immense physical courage, which the Israelis simply do not possess.
Even in the West Bank, where the Israelis frequently raid refugee camps and face off against poorly trained teenagers and men in their young twenties, armed with no more than light weapons, their Special Forces units have to call in backup and end up using air support. Even against the weakest link in the chain of Resistance groups, they struggle to hold ground in confrontations and never do so in a fair way. In Lebanon, they face committed, well-trained, and well-prepared fighters who do not fear death and crave the opportunity to confront them.
The Israeli regime may well pull off more trickery and terrorism on a grand scale, as it will turn to more assassinations, attempts to stir unrest, and perhaps special force operations deep into Lebanese or Syrian territory. There cannot be any doubt that there will be more challenges ahead, that the Israelis have many more tricks up their sleeves, and that the terror they plan to inflict will be painful, primarily to civilians. Yet, they do not possess the capability to win a multi-front confrontation and will be bled to death, so long as the Axis of Resistance continues to seize the initiative and respond forcefully to each escalatory violation of international law that the Israelis commit.
Nasrallah, in his first speech issued during the Gaza Genocide, spoke of “scoring points” and that the “knockout blow” had not yet been delivered against the Israeli regime. What has happened during the past month is that the Israelis were being beaten on points and decided to begin throwing haymaker punches with the intent of ending the fight abruptly, taking a chance at victory. Some of those punches landed and knocked down the Axis of Resistance, yet they got back on their feet, dealt blows back to the Israelis, and are now fighting with even more intensity. Both sides have been hit and hurt, so this fight now looks like it will end with a KO.
Israel struck the Iranian Embassy in Damascus. Iran retaliated. Then Israel assassinated Ismail Haniyeh in Teheran. Iran retaliated on October 1, striking a very painful blow to Israel. So, the score is 2-2. Now, if Israel is foolish enough to attack Iran for the 3rd time, this time Iran won’t restrain itself – the retaliation on Israel will be at another level. The war that the Israeli regime has opened will not close until it is dealt a strategic defeat, one from which it will not likely recover. It is also a war that the United States has enabled and backed in every way. In today’s world, the Palestinians and Lebanese people are taking on not only the Zionists, but the US too.
Our next article is called “Gaza & other fronts – 1 year on “.
