1 Background
2 Retaliation
3 China – the new Mideast Broker?
4 Bibi’s Washington visit
5. Response from the West
6. Iran introduces new weapons systems
7. Response from Russia
8. Putin Shifts Azerbaijan to BRICS
9. Response from other powers
10. The OIC meeting
11. How a Brics trio is staring down Israel
1. Background
And, now we come to Iran-the big kid on the block; the father and mother of the Axis of Resistance. The ultimate target for the US and Israel is Iran, as it provides protection, defense and lessons in asymmetric warfare to the resistance groups in the region.
The Israelis and Americans are frustrated by their devastating failures since the Hamas-led October 7 attack. Despite the Israeli-US alliance pulling off two high-profile assassinations within hours and posed as if they are ready for an all-out war, it is clear that they could only handle a regional conflagration which would quickly end in a stalemate. If this escalation goes the wrong way, however, there are only two options left for them, and both are terrible. The Zionist Entity was faced with a choice, after failing to reach victory in Gaza: either end the war or escalate. It was clear from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s address to the US Congress that the leader of the Entity was bent on escalation and that he would receive bipartisan support in the United States for carrying out actions designed to achieve the desired goal.
Finding their justification in the massacre of 12 Syrian-Druze children in the occupied Golan Heights, quickly jumping to accuse Hezbollah, the Israeli military launched their attack on a multi-story building in southern Beirut. While the Zionists attempted to use the blood of the indigenous people of the Golan, living in Majdal Shams, for their own propaganda purposes, the people refused to allow this lie to pass and blamed the Zionists for the massacre in their village, as Hezbollah vehemently denied any involvement. The timing of the massacre came at a convenient time for the Zionist Regime, as the Israeli PM was at the tail end of his trip to the United States. Shortly afterward, the Israelis murdered seven Lebanese and injured around 80 in their attack on the southern suburbs of Beirut. The primary target was Hezbollah military leader Fuad Shukr, who was martyred along with three children and two women on Tuesday, July 30. Then, just hours later, the Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in the Iranian capital, Tehran. None of this is by accident
What Is The US-Israeli Strategy?
An all-out regional war will result in the annihilation of the Zionist Entity, for even with direct US involvement, the Zionists still can’t win. Even if we assume that nuclear weapons might be used, the firepower of the Resistance is such that the Israelis would experience a similar blow from the sheer scale of missile power directed toward them.
Knowing that victory is not possible, it appears evident, therefore, that strategies are in place to prevent a war from reaching its inevitable conclusion. The Israelis and Americans are frustrated by their devastating failures since the Hamas-led October 7 attack, whether it be in the inability of the Zionist military to secure a victory against the Palestinian Resistance in Gaza, or the US’ embarrassing defeat at the hands of Yemen’s Ansar Allah. The blows dealt to the Zionist Entity, in the security, military, political, societal, and economic spheres, are so great that it is unclear how they can ever recover. Faced with such a predicament, the US-Israeli alliance had two options, either accept the strategic defeat and pursue a diplomatic solution to the chaos they have wrought over the past 10 months, or, escalate. The assassinations in Beirut and Tehran indicate they chose escalation.
The Israelis themselves have conducted two major war games over the past years, testing the capabilities of the Zionist military to fight a multi-front war, losing both times. Keep in mind that these military exercises were also conducted while assuming that the full strength of the Israeli military would be intact. Currently, the Zionist army is stretched thin, it is undertrained, overworked, and suffers from a lack of motivation and discipline. Additionally, it has lost many of its tanks and armored personnel carriers, as thousands have been damaged and destroyed in Gaza. It suffices to say that Israel does not possess the capacity to fight the war it is pursuing, which is why the assassinations came as such a shock to many. However, the Israelis had one last option left to prolong the war and the strategy is as follows:
Open up a war with Lebanon, but attempt to keep it limited to trade off blows and close the conflict with a stalemate. A war with Hezbollah will bring great carnage to Israeli infrastructure and result in scores of dead Israelis, thereby distracting the population from the war in the Gaza Strip. This would create an environment that could enable the Israeli prime minister to close a ceasefire deal with Hamas in Gaza. From there, the Zionist regime could then pivot to the West Bank, annexing around 60% of its territory and launching a military operation – similar to “Operation Defensive Shield” in 2002 – to murder the majority of the Resistance fighters there.
Under such a scenario, Benjamin Netanyahu will use the assassinations of Resistance leaders as trophies to brag about a supposed victory, while presenting the argument that his regime confronted an existential threat from multiple foes and survived. He will then use the land grab in the West Bank as proof of conquest and the killing of Resistance fighters there as a “security” achievement. This situation is what both the US and their Israeli allies see as the best-case scenario.
However, the situation could quickly spiral out of control and the damage done to the Zionist Entity could prove so great that it remains only a shell of itself if it manages to survive at all. It is a dangerous strategy, to say the very least, and although they may see it as a bold attempt to restore US-Israeli hegemony in the Middle East, it also projects weakness and a lack of options. Such a risk, which could result in the end of the Zionist Entity, would only be taken if their backs were against the wall. If this goes sideways for the Zionists, then they will likely have two options left. The first will be the infamous Samson Option, to use their nuclear weapons. The second could involve the deployment of regional forces into occupied Palestine to prevent the fall of the Zionist Entity.
The first option needs no further explanation; it is pure terror. The second has not been publicly discussed as of now but could also be implemented if it looks like the Israeli regime is about to collapse on the ground and Palestinian territory is close to liberation. If such an event occurs, it is plausible that the Jordanian and Egyptian armies could be deployed into occupied Palestine, in order to prevent the land from being taken over by Resistance fighters who are less likely to engage regional armies, this would also likely involve the presence of the Turkish armed forces who could potentially be deployed as well. Although there is no evidence to support this theory, it might be seen as the only way to de-escalate the situation if the Zionist Entity is on the brink of disintegration.
Regardless, the Zionists have gambled, and only time will tell how this will turn out. Now, we will discuss how Israel continues to provoke Iran.
2. Retaliation
The 1st case
All of this was exemplified by the leader of the Revolutionary Guards – Qasim Suleiman – whom the US assassinated in Baghdad in January 2000. At that time, Iran retaliated by bombing a US base in Iraq, the Ayn Al Assad base, with the US taking casualties – both wounded and killed. It was a precision strike using ballistic missiles. The US never retaliated against Iran. It was at this moment that the US Empire just died. This was the first major retaliation by Iran against the US.
As the West fears the emergence of BRICS as a threat, especially since several new members joined it this year, Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE and Egypt, this poses a danger to the US petro-dollar system. The US aim is to break up this alliance by exploding the Middle East. The problem with this approach is that the US has been weakened economically, financially and militarily. It has also been de-industrialized- which means its capacity to produce goods for its economy (consumer, industrial and military) is near zero. This last factor guarantees its collapse.
The 2nd case
Knowing all of these facts, the US still continues to provoke Iran. First, it killed a senior IRGC officer on December 25, 2023 in Damascus. It then followed this up by bombing a funeral memorial in Kerman, Iran, killing more than a 100 civilians. The CIA/Mossad/British Intelligence outfit ISIS later assumed responsibility for the terror bombings.
In response, Iran fired 24 precision ballistic missiles, covering a distance of 1,200 kms, targeting a US base in Idlib, Syria, causing death and injuries to many US soldiers. It also hit a base in Erbil that housed the local Mossad office. The result was that several Mossad agents were killed along with a local Kurdish tycoon doing oil deals with Israel. The IRCG targeted the headquarters of Mossad spies in Kurdistan, Iraq, and the headquarters of terrorist leaders and members linked to the recent terrorist attacks in Iran, mainly ISIS terrorist cells.
“Four Kheybar Shekan ballistic missiles were launched from Khuzestan toward terrorist strongholds in Idlib, Syria. Another four missiles were launched from western Iran and seven from northwest Iran toward Mossad spy bases in Iraqi Kurdistan. As well as nine various missiles launched on terror group strongholds in occupied regions of Syria,” the IRGC stated. This was “an unprecedented event,” while Israeli media stated that this was the first time that an Iran-launched missile covered such a great distance.
The 3rd case
This was the infamous attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus in early April. This killed a few leaders of the IRGC, who were meeting to co-ordinate military supplies, etc. to the various Resistance groups and fronts. Iran retaliated against Israel for this. The entire incident is explained in detail in our previous article, titled “Iran sends a Message “, dated
This retaliation shocked both Israel and its western backers, as it showcased Iran’s ability to target and hit strategic military sites in Israel, including the most heavily defended base in the world. It was the first time that a successful hit on Israel was done by a state actor, and covering a distance traversing several countries!
The 4th case – The assassination of Ismail Haniye & Fuad Shokr
Israel killed Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on 31 July, as he was visiting Iran as a diplomatic guest while attending the inauguration of the country’s new president. The US/Israeli proxy terror group in Iran, the MEK, used a rocket fired from the hills of north Teheran, and struck the IRGC guest house that he was staying in.
A day earlier, Israel killed a top Hezbollah commander in the Lebanese capital, targeting him in a residential building while killing several civilians, including children, in the process.
Hezbollah and Iran have both vowed severe retaliations to the illegal attacks.
Not long after Israel assassinated the Hamas No 2 in Beirut, the various Resistance groups from all the involved countries – Iran, Hezbollah, the Iraqi Resistance and Yemen – had consultations. The consensus reached was that all the factions are going to increase the volume and precision of attacks going forward. And we can see that this is already happening. Since his assassination, all the groups have increased their intensity of attacks. As the Israeli army is withdrawing from various parts of Gaza, their losses are increasing. Latest reports suggest that in Gaza, the Israelis are losing more than 100 soldiers a day, while in the north, another 20-50 are being killed. Taken together, we can see that the tensions are escalating. The Axis of Resistance are primed, ready and willing.
Other Incidents
In the Gulf of Oman, Iran seized an oil tanker carrying 1 million barrels of oil. This was in retaliation for the oil tanker seized by the US in March of 2023. Off the coast of India, two ships were attacked by Iranian forces. This news is heavily censored in the West. In Oman itself, the British base was bombed, although this incident has been heavily censored.
The greater bluff in play, however, is that towards Iran. The neo-cons in the US have long yearned for military action to be taken against Iran, but Iran’s deterrence ability has transformed in the intervening years since the US hawks began calling to ‘bomb, bomb, bomb Iran’. The bottom line facing the US must be the Iranian ‘Red Pill’. Put bluntly, ‘yes’ the US can rain destruction on Iranian civil infrastructure, but no longer on either its nuclear infrastructure, nor its dispersed concealed ‘Red Pill’ missile defense.
“Blow up the Middle East “& Destroy BRICS
The world is moving from a unipolar to a multipolar world. This shift is being led by Russia, China and the BRICS model. If this trend continues, then the dollar-centric system will come to an end. And, with that, there goes the global empires of the 2 families.
To avoid this outcome, the game-plan of the Rockefeller Empire is to blow up Eurasia. It is a repeat of what happened in World War 2. Eurasia lay in ashes, while the American mainland was untouched. Its industrial might was intact. Its financial system was very strong, due to a massive influx of gold into the US, as the warring nations had to pay in gold for supplies. Overall, the US dictated the post-war agenda, such as the UN, and the Bretton Woods agreement.
Today, the US is a shell of its position in 1945. Its desperate position is forcing it into desperate measures. Look at the map below.
The center region is on fire, but has not yet become a raging fire. The current conflict is between Israel and the Axis of resistance. There are no states involved as yet in the conflict against Israel. Both Israel and the US are itching to expand the conflict into a regional war.
The following are its options. With Israel taking over the Rafah border crossing and the Philadelphia Corridor, breaking an agreement with Egypt, Israel was hoping to get Egypt involved in the conflict. Despite such provocations, Egypt is not falling for this.
At the same time, Israel has been trying to provoke Iran, as listed above. Were Iran to retaliate in a strong manner, this will give an opportunity to respond by massively attacking Iran. Then Iran will retaliate and Israel responds. This cycle will intensify until Israel begins use nuclear weapons. At this point, the situation will go out of control. If Iran is attacked with nuclear weapons, then expect both Russia and China will side with Iran. Thus, a regional war becomes global.
This is a scenario that Russia, China, Iran and most of the world do not want. What Putin is telling Egypt and Iran is that “ – – confine the conflict between Israel and the Axis of Resistance , the states must not get involved as that is exactly what Israel and the West want- – – don’t give them the opportunity”.
A second angle is the need for Israel to deflect focus from Gaza to a regional war. At the current state, Israel is losing the war of attrition. Its support base in the West is getting exposed and eroded. This trend is worrying to the Rothschild family. They are hoping that a regional war will allow them to “claim a victory “in Gaza. While the world’s attention is then focused on the regional war, this may allow Israel to continue and expand its genocide in Gaza. Already, the Gazans have been herded into an area equal to only 11 % of pre-October state. Nearly 2 million people have been systematically herded and confined to an ever-decreasing area. The intent is to starve and bomb them, and destroy any infrastructure that is still standing; then Israel will re-open the Rafah border crossing, hoping the Gazans will flee to Egypt. This is a Zionist pipe dream.
The Red Pill?
The Red Pill that Iran deploys is simply this: Were Iran to be attacked by the US, the destruction will not be of assistance to “Israel”. For “Israel” will no longer exist (deeply-buried and dispersed dead-hand missiles will be launched long after the western raids have ceased). This is no bluff. Iran definitely does not want a ‘big war’, but has been preparing for twenty years against just such contingency. Israel will not be able to achieve its main war objectives of ending Hamas and its political and military capabilities or retrieving the captives, and this failure would impose on the occupation entity paying a heavy price. As an Israeli senior official stated: “To survive, Israel must strike Iran now. We [Israelis] have arrived at the moment of truth and a decision is necessary. The world should support such an operation. But even if it doesn’t, surely the country’s survival should be more important to its inhabitants than possible international condemnations and even sanctions if they are imposed.”
“There’s no better moment to deliver a strategic blow against Iran, given the current asymmetry in capabilities between the two countries … Israel has a dramatic advantage in aerial capabilities thanks to its advanced F-15 and F-35 stealth aircraft. But, above all, Israel has one singular advantage (according to foreign press reports): It possesses a nuclear arsenal, whereas Iran currently only aspires to achieve one”. The losses suffered by the Israeli army in Gaza have significantly diminished its capabilities to wage war on multiple fronts. He argues that Israeli forces are “not currently ready for a broad campaign in Lebanon.”
Now the whole world is on pins and needles awaiting what comes next. At this point it’s clear, as we’ve written many times here before, that the Rothschilds need perpetual escalation in order to save their failing Zionist project. Furthermore, Israel seems to fear taking on Hezbollah with Iran’s backing and would love to have U.S. tie Iran down in a war, or eliminate it outright, first, prior to taking the risky gambit of slugging it out with Hezbollah. An all-out regional war will result in the annihilation of the Zionist Entity, for even with direct US involvement, the Zionists still can’t win.
3. China – the New MidEast Broker?
The Russia-China tango is working together to reduce US involvement in the Middle East. Russia starts the ball rolling, and passes the baton onto China, And China closes the deal. The tango has managed to broker a deal between Yemen and Saudi Arabia. Then, in March last year, the Chinese brokered a peace deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Now, the next step are the Palestinians. Putin invited all the Palestinian factions to Moscow earlier this year. And late last month, China hosted them in Beijing. At the conclusion, the Palestinian factions issued a joint declaration, signifying a “unity of purpose”. Assuming a partial success, the declaration may be able to put a spanner in the works of the absolute impunity of the Tel Aviv–Washington agenda because after the Beijing deal, finding a collaborator Palestine government to perpetuate the occupation could be much more difficult. All Palestinian factions now owe China a serious debt; internal squabbling will have to cease. Otherwise, it would amount to a serious loss of face for Beijing. The signed declaration last month, constitutes yet another stunning Chinese diplomatic coup, but the document goes far beyond affirming China’s pull.
The official representatives of 14 Palestinian factions to commit to full reconciliation showed the entire world that the road to solving intractable geopolitical problems is no longer unilateral: it is multipolar, multi-nodal, and features BRICS/Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) member China as an inescapable leader.
The concept of China as a peacemaking superpower is now so established that after the Iran–Saudi Arabia rapprochement and the signing of the Beijing Declaration, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba chose to tell his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in Beijing that Kiev is now finally ready to negotiate the end of the NATO–Russia proxy war in Ukraine. Palestinians who came to Beijing were beaming. For Fatah Vice Chairman Mahmoud al-Aloul, “China is a shining light. China’s efforts are rare on the international stage.” Hamas spokesman Hussam Badran said the Palestinian resistance movement accepted the Chinese invitation “with a positive spirit and patriotic responsibility.” All Palestinian factions have reached a consensus on “Palestinian demands to end the war,” adding that the “most important” part of the declaration is to form a government that builds Palestinian national consensus to “manage the affairs of the people of Gaza and the West Bank, oversee reconstruction, and create conditions for elections.” Wang Yi cut to the chase: the Palestinian issue says the Chinese foreign minister, is at the core of everything in the Middle East. He emphasized that Beijing “… has never had any selfish interests in the Palestinian issue. China is one of the first countries to recognize the PLO [Palestine Liberation Organization] and the State of Palestine and has always firmly supported the Palestinian people in restoring their legitimate national rights. What we value is morality and what we advocate is justice.” What Wang did not say – and didn’t need to – is that this position is the overwhelming BRICS+ position, shared by the Global Majority, including, crucially, all Muslim countries. It’s all in a name – everyone in the foreseeable future will note this is the “Beijing” declaration unequivocally supporting One Palestine.
No wonder all political factions had to rise to the occasion, committing to support an independent Palestinian government with executive powers over Gaza and the occupied West Bank. But there’s a catch: this will take place immediately after the war, which the regime in Tel Aviv wants to prolong indefinitely. “An agreement has been reached on post-Gaza war governance and the establishment of a provisional national reconciliation government,” China’s foreign minister said at the time.
The one key obstacle for the unity of all the factions is the PLO and its leader Mahmood Abbas. The Palestinians have lost all trust in him and see Abbas as a tool of US and Israeli efforts to oppress the Palestinians. In fact, most of the Palestinians would prefer Hamas as their governing authority. So, to this end, Putin called Abbas over to Moscow in late August, and held a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on 13 August. Abbas briefed Putin on “the ongoing Israeli aggression against the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, including Jerusalem, the targeting of defenseless civilians, the full destruction of infrastructure, and the war of starvation [in Gaza],” according to Palestinian news agency WAFA. “The friendship that binds our two peoples is a friendship that has bound us for decades, between the Palestinian people on the one hand, and the Soviet Union and then the Russian Federation. Throughout this time, we have always felt that Russia, government and people, stands by the Palestinian people because it stands by the right,” Abbas added. The Palestinian president “praised the efforts made by Russia to achieve Palestinian reconciliation under the banner of the PLO; the sole legitimate representative of the Palestinian people.” He also said the UN has “failed to accomplish” its mission and solve the Palestinian crisis.
“Everyone knows that Russia is defending its people today with weapons in its hands, but what is happening in the Middle East, and what is happening in Palestine, of course, cannot pass without attention on our part,” Putin added. “We are united in the stance that the problem’s roots go far back in the past and are connected with the ignorance of international organizations to follow previously made decisions, first of all by the United Nations, decisions regarding the formation and establishment of an independent Palestinian state,” the went on to say. “This stance was laid down a long time ago and does not depend on the situation, we believe that in order to provide for a lasting, reliable and stable peace in the region it is necessary to implement all UN decisions and, first and foremost, to establish the full-fledged state of Palestine.”
That was the public statements. What was said in private was very brutal. Putin told Abbas that his people have lost trust in him, and that he should step down. Another reason Putin argued with Abbas was that both the US and Israel does not want to negotiate with Hamas, nor allow Hamas any say in a post-war Gaza. So, in order to overcome this roadblock, Putin suggested that Abbas resign, and Hamas and the other Resistance groups merge with the PA to form a single unifying bloc. In this way, – – – “we can neutralize the American-Israeli objections of negotiating with Hamas, and move onto our final objective- a fully-fledge Palestinian state with the full backing of 90 % of the world- – – in this way, we can undercut the Zionist state PLUS leave no room for their traditional “divide-and-rule” game “.
Putin then stated that, “It is well known that Russia today, unfortunately, must defend its interests, defend its people with weapons in its hands, but what is happening in the Middle East [West Asia], what is happening in Palestine – certainly does not go unnoticed.”
Overwhelming trust is placed in the new Hamas leader, Yahya Sinwar.
Moscow is in a complex position – trying to boost a new political process in Palestine with its instrumental tools of statesmanship, in a much more forceful way than the Chinese. Yet Abbas is resisting. What Putin told Abbas is a gem of an understatement: There are some auspicious angles, though. In Moscow, Abbas said that they had discussed BRICS: “We have reached a verbal agreement that Palestine would be invited in the ‘outreach’ format,” and expressed hope that: “A particular format of a meeting could be organized and it will be devoted exclusively to Palestine, so that all countries would voice their views on the developments that are taking place … It will all be as relevant as possible, considering the fact that the countries of this association [BRICS] are all friendly to Palestine.”
That, in itself, is a significant Russian diplomatic victory. The optics of Palestine being placed among the BRICS for serious discussions will have an immense impact all across Muslim states and the Global Majority.
Russia chairs BRICS this year, and will be hosting this year’s annual BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia in October (22-24 October). Putin does not want the Middle East exploding under his watch, and one which may cast a dark shadow over the BRICS summit.
The story continues in Part 2 – – –
